The best indicator for Travelers Companies (The) (TRV)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Travelers Companies (The) (TRV) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Ehlers Cyber Cycle
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Travelers Companies (The) (TRV) over ~50.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.6% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Travelers Companies (The) (TRV) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehlers Cyber Cycle ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.56 | -43.2% | 45.9% | 1306 | -0.6% |
| 2 | Demand Index ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.56 | -38.2% | 64.7% | 139 | -0.7% |
| 3 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.54 | -33.7% | 86.4% | 44 | -2.6% |
| 4 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.54 | -33.7% | 86.4% | 44 | -2.6% |
| 5 | Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) ✓ | Daily | 9.6% | 0.53 | -65.4% | 42.9% | 913 | -0.0% |
| 6 | Least Squares MA ✓ | Daily | 7.8% | 0.52 | -75.9% | 43.5% | 1026 | -1.8% |
| 7 | LSMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.6% | 0.51 | -43.2% | 47.8% | 523 | -2.0% |
| 8 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.51 | -41.2% | 90.9% | 33 | -2.6% |
| 9 | Stochastic (10,3) ✓ | Daily | 7.8% | 0.5 | -86.3% | 44.9% | 1517 | -1.8% |
| 10 | Keltner 10 (x1.5) | Daily | 3.5% | 0.5 | -33.0% | 43.4% | 385 | -6.1% |
| 11 | B-Xtrender ✓ | Daily | 6.1% | 0.49 | -75.5% | 44.2% | 1068 | -3.5% |
| 12 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Daily | 7.4% | 0.49 | -80.0% | 49.4% | 1064 | -2.1% |
| 13 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.49 | -42.6% | 86.8% | 38 | -1.8% |
| 14 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Weekly | 6.8% | 0.49 | -36.0% | 87.5% | 16 | -2.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Travelers Companies (The) (TRV), Ehlers Cyber Cycle on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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