The best indicator for T. Rowe Price (TROW)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real T. Rowe Price (TROW) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where T. Rowe Price (TROW) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Intraday Momentum Index
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for T. Rowe Price (TROW) over ~40.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.9% CAGR.
T. Rowe Price (TROW) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for T. Rowe Price (TROW) — trailing buy-and-hold by 13.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Intraday Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 12.6% | 0.59 | -51.6% | 74.4% | 133 | -2.9% |
| 2 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 15.5% | 0.58 | -67.4% | 48.1% | 27 | 0.0% |
| 3 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | Daily | 11.7% | 0.55 | -59.2% | 48.9% | 137 | -3.9% |
| 4 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Daily | 11.6% | 0.55 | -61.3% | 73.2% | 127 | -3.9% |
| 5 | Chandelier Exit ✓ | Weekly | 11.6% | 0.53 | -59.7% | 50.0% | 72 | -3.5% |
| 6 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 11.3% | 0.51 | -60.7% | 45.6% | 68 | -3.8% |
| 7 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 15.4% | 0.58 | -67.4% | 53.8% | 13 | -0.1% |
| 8 | Stochastic Slow (21,5) ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.5 | -53.1% | 49.3% | 150 | -5.6% |
| 9 | Laguerre RSI ✓ | Weekly | 7.3% | 0.49 | -50.5% | 73.0% | 63 | -7.8% |
| 10 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.49 | -73.2% | 49.6% | 129 | -3.7% |
| 11 | Stochastic (20,5) ✓ | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.49 | -51.5% | 52.1% | 144 | -5.9% |
| 12 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | Daily | 9.4% | 0.48 | -72.4% | 55.0% | 111 | -6.1% |
| 13 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.7% | 0.48 | -59.8% | 56.8% | 37 | -5.4% |
| 14 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.48 | -62.0% | 46.3% | 108 | -4.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on T. Rowe Price (TROW)
38 of 716 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on T. Rowe Price (TROW) outright. Another 145 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 254 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| TRIX (9) | 1 | 1.63× | 2.66× |
| DeMarker | 1 | 1.91× | 3.24× |
| MAMA / FAMA | 1 | 2.0× | 2.79× |
| Ichimoku TK Cross | 1 | 2.21× | 3.48× |
| Even Better Sinewave | 1 | 2.3× | 2.77× |
| Coral Trend | 1 | 2.38× | 2.65× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For T. Rowe Price (TROW), Intraday Momentum Index on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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