The best indicator for T. Rowe Price (TROW)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real T. Rowe Price (TROW) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Intraday Momentum Index
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for T. Rowe Price (TROW) over ~40.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.8% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for T. Rowe Price (TROW) — trailing buy-and-hold by 13.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Intraday Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 12.8% | 0.59 | -51.6% | 74.8% | 131 | -2.8% |
| 2 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 15.6% | 0.59 | -67.4% | 48.1% | 27 | 0.0% |
| 3 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Daily | 12.1% | 0.56 | -61.3% | 74.2% | 128 | -3.6% |
| 4 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | Daily | 11.6% | 0.55 | -59.2% | 48.9% | 137 | -4.0% |
| 5 | Chandelier Exit ✓ | Weekly | 12.0% | 0.54 | -60.0% | 51.4% | 70 | -3.2% |
| 6 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 11.8% | 0.53 | -60.9% | 44.3% | 70 | -3.4% |
| 7 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 15.5% | 0.58 | -67.4% | 53.8% | 13 | -0.1% |
| 8 | Stochastic (20,5) ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.5 | -51.5% | 53.1% | 145 | -5.8% |
| 9 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.6% | 0.48 | -59.8% | 54.1% | 37 | -5.6% |
| 10 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.48 | -74.1% | 49.2% | 124 | -4.1% |
| 11 | Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.48 | -54.3% | 48.3% | 149 | -4.8% |
| 12 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.47 | -43.2% | 79.7% | 64 | -7.5% |
| 13 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.47 | -49.0% | 76.3% | 59 | -6.9% |
| 14 | Laguerre RSI | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.47 | -51.0% | 74.6% | 63 | -8.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For T. Rowe Price (TROW), Intraday Momentum Index on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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