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The best indicator for Target Corporation (TGT)

We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Target Corporation (TGT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling FLAT right now — Fisher Center-of-Gravity (Weekly) is out of the market, as of 2026-06-08.
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Cycle · Weekly

Fisher Center-of-Gravity

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Target Corporation (TGT) over ~53.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.0% CAGR.

11.1%
CAGR
0.71
Sharpe
-32.0%
Max DD
57.4%
Win rate
1.91
Profit factor
-2.0%
vs Buy&Hold
Confluence · Weekly

Best multi-indicator combo

RSI Trend (>50)MACD

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Target Corporation (TGT) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

9.5%
CAGR
0.59
Sharpe
53.7%
Win rate
123
Trades
-3.6%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
Fisher Center-of-Gravity
-2.0% · Sharpe 0.71
Daily
Ehlers Roofing Filter
-2.4% · Sharpe 0.58
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Fisher Center-of-Gravity Weekly11.1%0.71-32.0%57.4%263-2.0%
2Center of Gravity Weekly10.2%0.59-48.7%52.4%330-2.9%
3Q-Stick Weekly11.0%0.59-47.6%47.3%245-2.1%
4QQE Weekly13.6%0.59-63.0%44.0%1660.5%
5Ehlers Roofing Filter Daily10.6%0.58-41.0%50.2%245-2.4%
6Ehlers Reflex Weekly10.7%0.58-57.2%65.5%87-2.4%
7Zero-Lag MACD Weekly10.0%0.57-44.7%58.1%227-3.1%
8KDJ Weekly9.8%0.56-36.2%47.3%256-3.3%
9Stoch RSI (fast) Weekly9.6%0.56-36.3%48.0%296-3.5%
10Detrended Price Osc. Weekly10.1%0.55-48.0%58.4%305-3.0%
11Arnaud Legoux MA Weekly9.7%0.55-39.7%50.6%259-3.4%
12Gann HiLo Activator Weekly10.0%0.55-41.7%49.2%197-3.1%
13Price Volume Trend Weekly10.1%0.54-58.0%51.6%124-3.0%
14MACD Weekly9.3%0.53-57.2%58.1%105-3.8%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Target Corporation (TGT), Fisher Center-of-Gravity on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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