The best indicator for Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Projection Bands
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) over ~46.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.0% CAGR.
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 7.8% | 0.46 | -72.0% | 67.5% | 425 | -1.0% |
| 2 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.45 | -56.0% | 49.9% | 501 | -1.2% |
| 3 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.44 | -44.5% | 67.6% | 74 | -2.6% |
| 4 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.43 | -67.5% | 48.2% | 137 | 0.0% |
| 5 | Stochastic (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.42 | -50.3% | 50.3% | 304 | -1.8% |
| 6 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 6.8% | 0.41 | -73.2% | 70.4% | 314 | -2.0% |
| 7 | Ultimate Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 6.7% | 0.41 | -68.6% | 76.2% | 42 | -2.1% |
| 8 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 6.5% | 0.4 | -75.3% | 69.5% | 311 | -2.3% |
| 9 | Demand Index ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.4 | -57.7% | 68.2% | 110 | -2.2% |
| 10 | EMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.4 | -52.6% | 46.9% | 49 | -2.3% |
| 11 | Disparity (100) ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.4 | -52.6% | 46.9% | 49 | -2.3% |
| 12 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 5.6% | 0.39 | -66.0% | 70.2% | 205 | -3.1% |
| 13 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Daily | 5.6% | 0.39 | -66.0% | 70.2% | 205 | -3.1% |
| 14 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.39 | -46.8% | 47.1% | 172 | -2.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
30 of 709 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) outright. Another 69 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 119 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stochastic RSI | 2 | none needed | 4.15× |
| Williams %R | 1 | 1.07× | 1.83× |
| Stochastic | 1 | 1.12× | 1.71× |
| Projection Bands | 1 | 1.44× | 1.79× |
| CCI | 1 | none needed | 1.81× |
| Hull MA Trend | 1 | none needed | 1.87× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Projection Bands on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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