The best indicator for Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Projection Bands
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) over ~46.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.3% CAGR.
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 7.7% | 0.46 | -72.9% | 67.7% | 424 | -1.3% |
| 2 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.45 | -44.5% | 73.0% | 74 | -2.6% |
| 3 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 9.1% | 0.44 | -66.5% | 47.4% | 135 | 0.1% |
| 4 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.43 | -66.0% | 49.6% | 500 | -1.9% |
| 5 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 6.3% | 0.41 | -56.2% | 73.0% | 63 | -2.7% |
| 6 | Stochastic (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.41 | -49.5% | 50.5% | 311 | -2.3% |
| 7 | Ultimate Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 0.4 | -68.6% | 76.2% | 42 | -2.4% |
| 8 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 0.4 | -46.8% | 47.7% | 172 | -2.4% |
| 9 | Demand Index ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.4 | -57.1% | 66.4% | 110 | -2.4% |
| 10 | EMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.4 | -52.9% | 52.1% | 48 | -2.4% |
| 11 | SMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.4 | -54.3% | 64.7% | 17 | -2.4% |
| 12 | Disparity (100) ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.4 | -52.9% | 52.1% | 48 | -2.4% |
| 13 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 6.3% | 0.39 | -73.2% | 69.4% | 314 | -2.7% |
| 14 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 6.3% | 0.39 | -75.3% | 69.2% | 312 | -2.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
30 of 709 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) outright. Another 69 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 119 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stochastic RSI | 2 | none needed | 4.15× |
| Williams %R | 1 | 1.07× | 1.83× |
| Stochastic | 1 | 1.12× | 1.71× |
| Projection Bands | 1 | 1.44× | 1.79× |
| CCI | 1 | none needed | 1.81× |
| Hull MA Trend | 1 | none needed | 1.87× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Projection Bands on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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