The best indicator for Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Projection Bands
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) over ~46.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.0% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 7.8% | 0.46 | -72.0% | 67.5% | 425 | -1.0% |
| 2 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.45 | -56.0% | 49.9% | 501 | -1.2% |
| 3 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.44 | -44.5% | 67.6% | 74 | -2.6% |
| 4 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.43 | -67.5% | 48.2% | 137 | 0.0% |
| 5 | Stochastic (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.42 | -50.3% | 50.3% | 304 | -1.8% |
| 6 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 6.8% | 0.41 | -73.2% | 70.4% | 314 | -2.0% |
| 7 | Ultimate Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 6.7% | 0.41 | -68.6% | 76.2% | 42 | -2.1% |
| 8 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 6.5% | 0.4 | -75.3% | 69.5% | 311 | -2.3% |
| 9 | Demand Index ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.4 | -57.7% | 68.2% | 110 | -2.2% |
| 10 | EMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.4 | -52.6% | 46.9% | 49 | -2.3% |
| 11 | Disparity (100) ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.4 | -52.6% | 46.9% | 49 | -2.3% |
| 12 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 5.6% | 0.39 | -66.0% | 70.2% | 205 | -3.1% |
| 13 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Daily | 5.6% | 0.39 | -66.0% | 70.2% | 205 | -3.1% |
| 14 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.39 | -46.8% | 47.1% | 172 | -2.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Projection Bands on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get the weekly edge report
The best-performing indicator per asset, what changed this week, and the honest caveats — straight to your inbox.