The best indicator for Simon Property Group (SPG)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Simon Property Group (SPG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Simon Property Group (SPG) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
WMA 10/40 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Simon Property Group (SPG) over ~32.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.4% CAGR.
Simon Property Group (SPG) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Simon Property Group (SPG) — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 13.3% | 0.75 | -47.4% | 57.7% | 26 | 0.4% |
| 2 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | Weekly | 13.2% | 0.74 | -39.3% | 50.0% | 26 | 0.4% |
| 3 | Momentum (50) ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.73 | -36.3% | 44.4% | 36 | -0.8% |
| 4 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.71 | -52.9% | 57.7% | 26 | -0.2% |
| 5 | Awesome Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.71 | -41.6% | 48.3% | 29 | -0.3% |
| 6 | TRIX (9) ✓ | Weekly | 12.4% | 0.71 | -44.8% | 55.6% | 27 | -0.5% |
| 7 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.0% | 0.7 | -41.7% | 50.0% | 16 | -0.8% |
| 8 | EMA 9/26 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.0% | 0.69 | -57.1% | 43.5% | 23 | -0.9% |
| 9 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.0% | 0.69 | -52.5% | 52.6% | 19 | -0.8% |
| 10 | Coral Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.0% | 0.68 | -53.8% | 64.5% | 31 | -0.8% |
| 11 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Weekly | 11.9% | 0.68 | -47.5% | 60.0% | 30 | -0.9% |
| 12 | ROC (60) ✓ | Weekly | 11.2% | 0.68 | -40.9% | 46.2% | 26 | -1.7% |
| 13 | EMA 8/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.67 | -50.0% | 46.9% | 32 | -1.4% |
| 14 | Vortex ✓ | Weekly | 11.8% | 0.67 | -40.3% | 65.3% | 72 | -1.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Simon Property Group (SPG)
194 of 666 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Simon Property Group (SPG) outright. Another 106 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 106 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMA 8/21 Cross | 2 | none needed | 2.48× |
| Ease of Movement | 2 | none needed | 3.27× |
| Guppy Multiple MA | 2 | none needed | 2.22× |
| Random Walk Index | 2 | none needed | 2.55× |
| Relative Momentum Index | 2 | none needed | 2.26× |
| Ehlers Roofing Filter | 2 | none needed | 3.05× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Simon Property Group (SPG), WMA 10/40 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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