The best indicator for Starbucks (SBUX)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Starbucks (SBUX) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Fibonacci Pivots
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Starbucks (SBUX) over ~33.9 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.9% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Starbucks (SBUX) — trailing buy-and-hold by 8.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Daily | 13.3% | 0.66 | -59.1% | 53.1% | 1377 | -5.9% |
| 2 | Connors RSI ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.64 | -60.0% | 62.9% | 394 | -7.4% |
| 3 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Daily | 12.2% | 0.64 | -54.7% | 52.8% | 1232 | -6.9% |
| 4 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 16.8% | 0.64 | -59.2% | 48.5% | 33 | -2.3% |
| 5 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.64 | -46.2% | 54.1% | 255 | -6.5% |
| 6 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 13.2% | 0.62 | -70.0% | 63.4% | 145 | -5.9% |
| 7 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 13.2% | 0.62 | -70.0% | 63.4% | 145 | -5.9% |
| 8 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Daily | 13.3% | 0.61 | -53.1% | 58.4% | 149 | -5.9% |
| 9 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 15.7% | 0.6 | -53.8% | 60.9% | 23 | -3.5% |
| 10 | Chaikin Money Flow ✓ | Weekly | 13.6% | 0.6 | -41.3% | 54.8% | 73 | -5.4% |
| 11 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 15.8% | 0.6 | -78.0% | 49.0% | 100 | -3.3% |
| 12 | Stochastic Slow (21,5) ✓ | Weekly | 12.2% | 0.6 | -46.5% | 59.2% | 125 | -6.9% |
| 13 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.6 | -49.4% | 51.4% | 364 | -7.0% |
| 14 | McGinley 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 13.8% | 0.59 | -53.7% | 38.8% | 67 | -5.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Starbucks (SBUX), Fibonacci Pivots on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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