The best indicator for Santander
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Santander history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Donchian Breakout
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Santander over ~39.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.1% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.52 | -60.8% | 44.8% | 29 | -0.1% |
| 2 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.51 | -59.4% | 44.6% | 74 | 0.5% |
| 3 | DEMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.51 | -56.6% | 36.7% | 30 | -0.1% |
| 4 | ADXR ✓ | Daily | 7.6% | 0.5 | -50.0% | 42.2% | 244 | -0.6% |
| 5 | T3 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 7.5% | 0.5 | -58.9% | 43.2% | 44 | -0.7% |
| 6 | Ichimoku Cloud ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.5 | -63.2% | 34.8% | 46 | -0.1% |
| 7 | Donchian 20 Break ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.5 | -71.0% | 47.1% | 17 | 0.6% |
| 8 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.5 | -47.4% | 46.3% | 95 | 0.2% |
| 9 | Hull Suite ✓ | Daily | 8.8% | 0.49 | -78.4% | 47.0% | 219 | 0.7% |
| 10 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.49 | -58.2% | 49.5% | 99 | 0.5% |
| 11 | FRAMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.49 | -64.0% | 44.0% | 209 | 0.4% |
| 12 | Supertrend (7,3) ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.49 | -57.1% | 46.9% | 32 | 0.2% |
| 13 | DMI Direction ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.48 | -71.6% | 39.1% | 466 | 0.6% |
| 14 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.48 | -60.5% | 48.4% | 31 | 0.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Santander, Donchian Breakout on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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