The best indicator for Santander
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Santander history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Santander stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Donchian Breakout
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Santander over ~39.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.1% CAGR.
Santander on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.52 | -60.8% | 44.8% | 29 | -0.1% |
| 2 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.51 | -59.4% | 44.6% | 74 | 0.5% |
| 3 | DEMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.51 | -56.6% | 36.7% | 30 | -0.1% |
| 4 | ADXR ✓ | Daily | 7.6% | 0.5 | -50.0% | 42.2% | 244 | -0.6% |
| 5 | T3 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 7.5% | 0.5 | -58.9% | 43.2% | 44 | -0.7% |
| 6 | Ichimoku Cloud ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.5 | -63.2% | 34.8% | 46 | -0.1% |
| 7 | Donchian 20 Break ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.5 | -71.0% | 47.1% | 17 | 0.6% |
| 8 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.5 | -47.4% | 46.3% | 95 | 0.2% |
| 9 | Hull Suite ✓ | Daily | 8.8% | 0.49 | -78.4% | 47.0% | 219 | 0.7% |
| 10 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.49 | -58.2% | 49.5% | 99 | 0.5% |
| 11 | FRAMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.49 | -64.0% | 44.0% | 209 | 0.4% |
| 12 | Supertrend (7,3) ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.49 | -57.1% | 46.9% | 32 | 0.2% |
| 13 | DMI Direction ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.48 | -71.6% | 39.1% | 466 | 0.6% |
| 14 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.48 | -60.5% | 48.4% | 31 | 0.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Santander
114 of 664 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Santander outright. Another 156 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 215 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADX / DMI | 2 | none needed | 2.9× |
| Ease of Movement | 2 | none needed | 2.27× |
| SMA 200 Trend | 2 | none needed | 3.8× |
| ADXR | 1 | 1.04× | 3.07× |
| EMA 200 Trend | 1 | 1.06× | 2.36× |
| SMC: Order Block | 1 | 1.08× | 1.94× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Santander, Donchian Breakout on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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