The best indicator for Rivian
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Rivian history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Rivian stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Bullish Marubozu
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Rivian over ~4.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 44.4% CAGR.
Rivian on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bullish Marubozu ✓ | Daily | 12.0% | 0.66 | -23.6% | 53.3% | 15 | 44.4% |
| 2 | Lorentzian Classification ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.75 | -12.1% | 61.5% | 13 | 44.3% |
| 3 | Hull MA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 16.5% | 0.57 | -45.4% | 40.0% | 20 | 49.0% |
| 4 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 14.5% | 0.51 | -61.7% | 48.1% | 54 | 46.9% |
| 5 | Holt Double-Exp MA ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.44 | -31.3% | 37.5% | 16 | 46.6% |
| 6 | Bollinger 10 (x1.5) Break ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.44 | -24.5% | 50.0% | 14 | 45.5% |
| 7 | Fisher Transform ✓ | Weekly | 4.9% | 0.33 | -62.5% | 36.4% | 22 | 40.5% |
| 8 | Least Squares MA ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.37 | -47.3% | 38.5% | 13 | 42.7% |
| 9 | Keltner 20 Break | Daily | 4.8% | 0.32 | -25.8% | 36.4% | 22 | 37.2% |
| 10 | KDJ ✓ | Weekly | 3.9% | 0.31 | -64.7% | 38.9% | 18 | 39.5% |
| 11 | Demand Index ✓ | Weekly | 4.0% | 0.33 | -62.7% | 57.1% | 14 | 39.5% |
| 12 | Zero-Lag LSMA ✓ | Daily | 1.9% | 0.3 | -64.5% | 44.9% | 69 | 34.3% |
| 13 | ZLEMA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 3.7% | 0.3 | -52.4% | 43.8% | 32 | 36.2% |
| 14 | LSMA 100 Trend | Daily | 4.1% | 0.3 | -51.9% | 43.6% | 39 | 36.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Rivian
33 of 294 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Rivian outright. Another 29 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 9 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Accumulation Swing Index | 1 | 1.06× | 4.14× |
| Swing Index | 1 | 1.06× | 4.14× |
| Williams %R | 1 | none needed | 7.09× |
| Parabolic SAR | 1 | none needed | 3.66× |
| Connors RSI-2 | 1 | none needed | 3.66× |
| Stochastic RSI | 1 | none needed | 7.75× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Rivian, Bullish Marubozu on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get alerted when Rivian’s signal flips
We track Rivian daily. Its backtested best indicator, Bullish Marubozu (Daily), is flat right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.