The best indicator for Reddit
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Reddit history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Reddit stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Bullish Harami
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Reddit over ~2.5 years — beating buy-and-hold by 23.2% CAGR.
Reddit on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | On-Balance Volume | Daily | 97.9% | 1.51 | -38.8% | 47.4% | 38 | 46.8% |
| 2 | Bullish Harami ✓ | Daily | 74.3% | 1.51 | -24.0% | 54.5% | 22 | 23.2% |
| 3 | Price Volume Trend | Daily | 101.7% | 1.49 | -37.9% | 47.4% | 19 | 50.6% |
| 4 | CCI (30) | Daily | 100.8% | 1.49 | -40.7% | 42.1% | 19 | 49.8% |
| 5 | Disparity (5) | Weekly | 86.5% | 1.41 | -40.5% | 46.7% | 15 | 30.9% |
| 6 | Trade Volume Index | Daily | 91.1% | 1.44 | -39.1% | 56.2% | 32 | 40.0% |
| 7 | Hull MA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 80.5% | 1.43 | -25.1% | 53.3% | 15 | 29.4% |
| 8 | Ease of Movement | Daily | 91.3% | 1.41 | -39.7% | 52.5% | 40 | 40.2% |
| 9 | TSI (13,7) | Daily | 87.8% | 1.4 | -31.5% | 43.8% | 16 | 36.7% |
| 10 | Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) | Daily | 80.5% | 1.36 | -33.1% | 48.6% | 35 | 29.4% |
| 11 | Center of Gravity | Weekly | 70.5% | 1.3 | -29.7% | 43.8% | 16 | 14.9% |
| 12 | Premier Stochastic | Daily | 80.6% | 1.35 | -46.1% | 30.0% | 20 | 29.5% |
| 13 | Williams %R (28) | Daily | 83.3% | 1.35 | -33.0% | 52.6% | 19 | 32.2% |
| 14 | Disparity (20) | Daily | 83.8% | 1.35 | -38.1% | 45.5% | 33 | 32.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Reddit lost money across the out-of-sample window in 146 of 146 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For Reddit, Bullish Harami on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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