The best indicator for Royal Caribbean Group (RCL)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
VWAP Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) over ~33.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 7.4% CAGR.
Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) — beating buy-and-hold by 1.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VWAP Trend ✓ | Daily | 19.6% | 0.73 | -43.2% | 42.7% | 452 | 7.4% |
| 2 | CCI Trend ✓ | Daily | 19.5% | 0.73 | -54.0% | 40.3% | 377 | 7.2% |
| 3 | CCI (30) ✓ | Daily | 19.3% | 0.73 | -56.0% | 38.1% | 286 | 7.1% |
| 4 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 19.4% | 0.72 | -50.7% | 50.5% | 188 | 7.2% |
| 5 | Price Volume Trend ✓ | Daily | 19.9% | 0.71 | -71.5% | 40.9% | 328 | 7.7% |
| 6 | WMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 17.9% | 0.71 | -50.2% | 44.0% | 402 | 5.7% |
| 7 | Fractal Adaptive MA ✓ | Weekly | 17.3% | 0.71 | -42.3% | 53.5% | 200 | 5.4% |
| 8 | Vortex ✓ | Daily | 18.5% | 0.7 | -55.6% | 41.5% | 400 | 6.3% |
| 9 | Force Index ✓ | Daily | 19.0% | 0.7 | -57.7% | 43.0% | 442 | 6.8% |
| 10 | Ehlers SuperSmoother ✓ | Weekly | 17.9% | 0.7 | -61.1% | 46.8% | 222 | 6.1% |
| 11 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Daily | 18.5% | 0.69 | -46.8% | 40.8% | 223 | 6.3% |
| 12 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 17.8% | 0.68 | -50.8% | 43.4% | 512 | 5.6% |
| 13 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 17.6% | 0.68 | -55.4% | 39.4% | 398 | 5.4% |
| 14 | Williams Fractals ✓ | Daily | 17.6% | 0.68 | -54.8% | 45.3% | 190 | 5.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Royal Caribbean Group (RCL)
128 of 688 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) outright. Another 233 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 271 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | 1.19× | 2.1× |
| TEMA 20/50 Cross | 2 | none needed | 3.19× |
| Vortex | 2 | none needed | 2.29× |
| Ease of Movement | 2 | none needed | 2.22× |
| Least Squares MA | 2 | none needed | 2.29× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | 2 | none needed | 1.7× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Royal Caribbean Group (RCL), VWAP Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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