The best indicator for QuantumScape
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real QuantumScape history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where QuantumScape stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Bullish Harami
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for QuantumScape over ~6.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 53.9% CAGR.
QuantumScape on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bullish Harami ✓ | Daily | 42.0% | 0.86 | -50.8% | 50.0% | 62 | 53.9% |
| 2 | Tweezer Bottom ✓ | Daily | 40.7% | 0.82 | -41.5% | 52.0% | 25 | 52.5% |
| 3 | Standard Error Bands ✓ | Daily | 33.4% | 0.8 | -54.1% | 55.6% | 18 | 45.3% |
| 4 | Accumulation Swing Index ✓ | Daily | 41.0% | 0.77 | -64.5% | 43.8% | 338 | 52.8% |
| 5 | Swing Index ✓ | Daily | 41.0% | 0.77 | -64.5% | 43.8% | 338 | 52.8% |
| 6 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Daily | 35.6% | 0.73 | -81.5% | 52.9% | 17 | 47.4% |
| 7 | Ulcer Index ✓ | Daily | 31.5% | 0.73 | -63.2% | 50.0% | 34 | 43.4% |
| 8 | Relative Volatility Index ✓ | Daily | 32.3% | 0.7 | -84.5% | 37.0% | 73 | 44.1% |
| 9 | Trend Magic ✓ | Daily | 32.1% | 0.69 | -82.4% | 38.9% | 90 | 44.0% |
| 10 | Woodie Pivots ✓ | Daily | 30.8% | 0.68 | -77.5% | 45.3% | 329 | 42.6% |
| 11 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | Daily | 30.8% | 0.68 | -69.9% | 42.1% | 19 | 42.6% |
| 12 | Acceleration Bands ✓ | Daily | 25.3% | 0.65 | -65.1% | 46.7% | 45 | 37.2% |
| 13 | FRAMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 26.5% | 0.65 | -65.3% | 39.6% | 149 | 38.3% |
| 14 | Hull Suite ✓ | Daily | 23.1% | 0.63 | -88.1% | 36.4% | 33 | 34.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on QuantumScape
87 of 284 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on QuantumScape outright. Another 28 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 24 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heikin-Ashi Trend | 2 | none needed | 2.06× |
| Accumulation Swing Index | 2 | none needed | 2.92× |
| Swing Index | 2 | none needed | 2.92× |
| RSI Trend (>50) | 1 | none needed | 2.04× |
| Williams %R | 1 | none needed | 2.31× |
| Rate of Change | 1 | none needed | 1.86× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For QuantumScape, Bullish Harami on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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