The best indicator for PayPal (PYPL)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real PayPal (PYPL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
TRIMA 200 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for PayPal (PYPL) over ~10.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 12.0% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for PayPal (PYPL) — beating buy-and-hold by 12.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 13.2% | 0.68 | -31.5% | 33.3% | 24 | 12.0% |
| 2 | LSMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.66 | -31.9% | 53.3% | 15 | 10.4% |
| 3 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | 12.1% | 0.59 | -49.0% | 46.7% | 15 | 10.9% |
| 4 | Laguerre RSI | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.58 | -29.6% | 64.7% | 17 | 6.8% |
| 5 | Three White Soldiers ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.55 | -35.1% | 68.0% | 25 | 7.3% |
| 6 | RSI (25) | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.53 | -37.6% | 46.7% | 15 | 8.9% |
| 7 | Keltner 50 (x2.0) | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.61 | -26.8% | 53.8% | 13 | 8.2% |
| 8 | DeMarker ✓ | Weekly | 12.3% | 0.71 | -31.9% | 72.7% | 11 | 10.6% |
| 9 | RSI Trend (>50) | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.52 | -42.1% | 48.1% | 27 | 8.5% |
| 10 | Ehlers Stochastic | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.52 | -34.6% | 46.7% | 15 | 8.6% |
| 11 | Hammer | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.59 | -29.3% | 61.5% | 13 | 5.2% |
| 12 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.51 | -47.9% | 53.6% | 459 | 8.9% |
| 13 | Disparity (50) | Weekly | 9.7% | 0.51 | -37.6% | 50.0% | 16 | 8.0% |
| 14 | Williams %R (50) | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.54 | -41.0% | 71.4% | 14 | 8.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For PayPal (PYPL), TRIMA 200 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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