The best indicator for Phillips 66 (PSX)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Phillips 66 (PSX) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Phillips 66 (PSX) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Donchian 10 Break
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Phillips 66 (PSX) over ~14.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.0% CAGR.
Phillips 66 (PSX) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Phillips 66 (PSX) — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian 10 Break ✓ | Daily | 17.9% | 0.86 | -35.7% | 51.5% | 68 | -1.0% |
| 2 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Daily | 17.6% | 0.83 | -38.8% | 44.7% | 161 | -1.3% |
| 3 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 21.5% | 0.83 | -44.4% | 53.1% | 32 | 2.6% |
| 4 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | Daily | 17.4% | 0.82 | -29.9% | 52.1% | 73 | -1.5% |
| 5 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 17.0% | 0.81 | -31.0% | 43.5% | 168 | -1.9% |
| 6 | EMA 9/26 Cross ✓ | Daily | 17.0% | 0.81 | -42.2% | 49.2% | 61 | -1.9% |
| 7 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 17.1% | 0.8 | -35.8% | 63.8% | 69 | -1.8% |
| 8 | CCI Trend ✓ | Daily | 16.4% | 0.78 | -36.0% | 41.4% | 169 | -2.5% |
| 9 | Adaptive Supertrend ✓ | Daily | 16.4% | 0.78 | -32.0% | 45.3% | 106 | -2.5% |
| 10 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Daily | 16.6% | 0.78 | -36.8% | 56.0% | 75 | -2.3% |
| 11 | Williams %R (21) ✓ | Daily | 16.1% | 0.77 | -34.8% | 44.9% | 158 | -2.8% |
| 12 | Fisher Center-of-Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 14.0% | 0.77 | -23.9% | 57.4% | 68 | -4.0% |
| 13 | Accelerator Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 16.3% | 0.76 | -37.2% | 50.0% | 208 | -2.6% |
| 14 | Bollinger %B ✓ | Daily | 15.7% | 0.76 | -39.1% | 44.6% | 193 | -3.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Phillips 66 (PSX)
15 of 572 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Phillips 66 (PSX) outright. Another 222 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 181 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heikin-Ashi Trend | 1 | 1.24× | 4.82× |
| EMA-10 Trend | 1 | none needed | 3.6× |
| Detrended Price Osc. | 1 | none needed | 3.46× |
| DeMarker | 1 | none needed | 8.0× |
| Least Squares MA | 1 | none needed | 4.06× |
| Fractal Adaptive MA | 1 | none needed | 3.58× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Phillips 66 (PSX), Donchian 10 Break on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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