The best indicator for Phillips 66 (PSX)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Phillips 66 (PSX) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Donchian 10 Break
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Phillips 66 (PSX) over ~14.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.3% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Phillips 66 (PSX) — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian 10 Break ✓ | Daily | 16.2% | 0.79 | -35.7% | 52.2% | 67 | -0.3% |
| 2 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Daily | 16.3% | 0.78 | -37.5% | 45.2% | 157 | -0.2% |
| 3 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 15.8% | 0.76 | -35.8% | 63.2% | 68 | -0.7% |
| 4 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | Daily | 15.8% | 0.76 | -29.9% | 52.8% | 72 | -0.7% |
| 5 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 19.1% | 0.76 | -44.4% | 53.1% | 32 | 2.6% |
| 6 | EMA 9/26 Cross ✓ | Daily | 15.2% | 0.74 | -42.2% | 50.0% | 60 | -1.4% |
| 7 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 14.8% | 0.73 | -31.0% | 43.4% | 166 | -1.7% |
| 8 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Daily | 15.2% | 0.73 | -36.8% | 56.8% | 74 | -1.3% |
| 9 | Center of Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 15.1% | 0.73 | -27.6% | 56.5% | 85 | -0.6% |
| 10 | Accelerator Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 14.8% | 0.71 | -37.2% | 49.3% | 205 | -1.7% |
| 11 | CCI Trend ✓ | Daily | 14.3% | 0.7 | -36.0% | 41.3% | 167 | -2.2% |
| 12 | Bollinger %B ✓ | Daily | 14.2% | 0.7 | -39.1% | 43.9% | 189 | -2.3% |
| 13 | Adaptive Supertrend ✓ | Daily | 14.2% | 0.7 | -32.0% | 45.7% | 105 | -2.4% |
| 14 | VWAP Trend ✓ | Daily | 14.1% | 0.69 | -39.7% | 40.2% | 194 | -2.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Phillips 66 (PSX), Donchian 10 Break on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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