The best indicator for Plug Power
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Plug Power history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Plug Power stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Premier Stochastic
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Plug Power over ~26.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 27.7% CAGR.
Plug Power on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Premier Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 13.3% | 0.49 | -89.7% | 36.7% | 226 | 27.7% |
| 2 | Pring's Special K ✓ | Daily | 13.5% | 0.49 | -78.8% | 44.8% | 154 | 27.9% |
| 3 | VIDYA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.8% | 0.47 | -95.4% | 38.5% | 26 | 27.2% |
| 4 | TSI (13,7) ✓ | Daily | 11.3% | 0.47 | -93.5% | 35.3% | 201 | 25.7% |
| 5 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Weekly | 16.5% | 0.47 | -95.7% | 27.9% | 43 | 30.8% |
| 6 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Daily | 9.6% | 0.46 | -98.6% | 40.7% | 231 | 24.0% |
| 7 | ROC (5) ✓ | Weekly | 13.7% | 0.46 | -98.5% | 32.3% | 127 | 28.0% |
| 8 | Linear Regression Slope ✓ | Daily | 9.9% | 0.45 | -88.5% | 36.0% | 164 | 24.3% |
| 9 | Inverse Fisher RSI ✓ | Daily | 9.8% | 0.45 | -92.6% | 30.8% | 221 | 24.2% |
| 10 | Correlation Trend ✓ | Daily | 9.9% | 0.45 | -88.5% | 36.0% | 164 | 24.3% |
| 11 | WMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.2% | 0.45 | -90.7% | 34.2% | 152 | 23.6% |
| 12 | KAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.5% | 0.45 | -98.5% | 24.3% | 74 | 24.9% |
| 13 | Fisher Transform ✓ | Weekly | 12.9% | 0.45 | -90.6% | 37.1% | 124 | 27.2% |
| 14 | RSI (7) ✓ | Weekly | 14.4% | 0.45 | -95.4% | 34.0% | 94 | 28.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Plug Power
478 of 606 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Plug Power outright. Another 4 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 36 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI Trend (>50) | 2 | none needed | 1.39× |
| ADX / DMI | 2 | none needed | 1.23× |
| Rate of Change | 2 | none needed | 1.12× |
| EMA-10 Trend | 2 | none needed | 1.14× |
| Donchian Midline | 2 | none needed | 1.29× |
| Parabolic SAR | 2 | none needed | 1.09× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Plug Power, Premier Stochastic on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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