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The best indicator for Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Palantir Technologies (PLTR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling FLAT right now — Least Squares MA (Daily) is out of the market, as of 2026-06-12.
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Trend · Daily

Least Squares MA

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Palantir Technologies (PLTR) over ~5.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.9% CAGR.

59.0%
CAGR
1.19
Sharpe
-39.5%
Max DD
34.6%
Win rate
1.46
Profit factor
-0.9%
vs Buy&Hold
Confluence · Daily

Best multi-indicator combo

HalfTrendRSI Trend (>50)

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Palantir Technologies (PLTR) — trailing buy-and-hold by 19.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

40.0%
CAGR
0.94
Sharpe
43.3%
Win rate
60
Trades
-19.9%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
Least Squares MA
-0.9% · Sharpe 1.19
Weekly
Predictive Ranges
-6.9% · Sharpe 0.98
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Least Squares MA Daily59.0%1.19-39.5%34.6%104-0.9%
2Volume Zone Oscillator Daily51.3%1.09-46.7%45.1%142-8.6%
3SSL Channel Daily51.3%1.07-54.4%42.6%54-8.6%
4SMA 200 Trend Daily51.6%1.14-40.6%35.7%14-8.3%
5McGinley 30 Trend Daily60.8%1.06-70.4%31.8%220.9%
6Heikin-Ashi Trend Daily49.0%1.04-70.3%44.9%272-10.9%
7EMA-10 Trend Daily50.4%1.04-50.1%43.1%123-9.5%
8Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) Daily56.8%1.04-67.6%40.2%92-3.0%
9Disparity (10) Daily50.4%1.04-50.1%43.1%123-9.5%
10Supertrend (10,3) Daily46.5%0.99-54.0%45.0%20-13.4%
11Accumulation Swing Index Daily43.7%0.99-50.0%49.4%310-16.2%
12Swing Index Daily43.7%0.99-50.0%49.4%310-16.2%
13Smoothed MA (Wilder) Daily47.2%0.99-50.8%33.9%59-12.7%
14Elastic VW MA Daily47.2%0.99-49.4%40.7%59-12.7%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Least Squares MA on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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