The best indicator for Palantir Technologies (PLTR)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Palantir Technologies (PLTR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Palantir Technologies (PLTR) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Least Squares MA
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Palantir Technologies (PLTR) over ~5.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.9% CAGR.
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Palantir Technologies (PLTR) — trailing buy-and-hold by 19.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Least Squares MA ✓ | Daily | 59.0% | 1.19 | -39.5% | 34.6% | 104 | -0.9% |
| 2 | Volume Zone Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 51.3% | 1.09 | -46.7% | 45.1% | 142 | -8.6% |
| 3 | SSL Channel ✓ | Daily | 51.3% | 1.07 | -54.4% | 42.6% | 54 | -8.6% |
| 4 | SMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 51.6% | 1.14 | -40.6% | 35.7% | 14 | -8.3% |
| 5 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 60.8% | 1.06 | -70.4% | 31.8% | 22 | 0.9% |
| 6 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | 49.0% | 1.04 | -70.3% | 44.9% | 272 | -10.9% |
| 7 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 50.4% | 1.04 | -50.1% | 43.1% | 123 | -9.5% |
| 8 | Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) ✓ | Daily | 56.8% | 1.04 | -67.6% | 40.2% | 92 | -3.0% |
| 9 | Disparity (10) ✓ | Daily | 50.4% | 1.04 | -50.1% | 43.1% | 123 | -9.5% |
| 10 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Daily | 46.5% | 0.99 | -54.0% | 45.0% | 20 | -13.4% |
| 11 | Accumulation Swing Index ✓ | Daily | 43.7% | 0.99 | -50.0% | 49.4% | 310 | -16.2% |
| 12 | Swing Index ✓ | Daily | 43.7% | 0.99 | -50.0% | 49.4% | 310 | -16.2% |
| 13 | Smoothed MA (Wilder) ✓ | Daily | 47.2% | 0.99 | -50.8% | 33.9% | 59 | -12.7% |
| 14 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Daily | 47.2% | 0.99 | -49.4% | 40.7% | 59 | -12.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Palantir Technologies (PLTR)
5 of 331 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Palantir Technologies (PLTR) outright. Another 161 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 138 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power | 1 | none needed | 2.4× |
| Premier Stochastic | 1 | none needed | 3.38× |
| Trend Regularity Adaptive MA | 1 | none needed | 3.72× |
| FRAMA 200 Trend | 1 | none needed | 2.64× |
| Advance Trend Pressure | 1 | none needed | 2.26× |
| Woodie Pivots | — | 1.91× | 4.11× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Least Squares MA on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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