The best indicator for Principal Financial Group (PFG)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Principal Financial Group (PFG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Principal Financial Group (PFG) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Three White Soldiers
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Principal Financial Group (PFG) over ~24.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1.5% CAGR.
Principal Financial Group (PFG) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Principal Financial Group (PFG) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.3% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Three White Soldiers ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.6 | -25.0% | 67.6% | 68 | 1.5% |
| 2 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.51 | -41.0% | 55.0% | 20 | -0.7% |
| 3 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.9% | 0.49 | -40.6% | 52.6% | 19 | -0.8% |
| 4 | Keltner Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.49 | -56.2% | 74.7% | 79 | 0.4% |
| 5 | KAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.49 | -46.6% | 48.6% | 35 | -1.6% |
| 6 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.48 | -42.2% | 64.7% | 17 | -1.3% |
| 7 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.48 | -54.8% | 50.0% | 24 | -1.2% |
| 8 | Vortex ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.47 | -49.1% | 55.4% | 56 | -0.9% |
| 9 | Fisher Center-of-Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.47 | -32.1% | 60.8% | 130 | -1.7% |
| 10 | J_TPO ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.47 | -44.7% | 44.4% | 72 | -1.4% |
| 11 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.46 | -49.1% | 55.4% | 56 | -0.9% |
| 12 | HMA 9/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.46 | -37.9% | 53.4% | 88 | -0.0% |
| 13 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.46 | -49.1% | 55.4% | 56 | -0.9% |
| 14 | Predictive Ranges ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.46 | -47.3% | 43.5% | 46 | -0.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Principal Financial Group (PFG)
6 of 665 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Principal Financial Group (PFG) outright. Another 154 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 298 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demand Index | 1 | 1.37× | 2.09× |
| Zero-Lag EMA Cross | 1 | 2.37× | 3.53× |
| ZLEMA 10/30 Cross | 1 | 2.37× | 3.53× |
| Least Squares MA | 1 | 3.1× | 4.45× |
| Williams %R | 1 | none needed | 3.6× |
| Lorentzian Classification | 1 | none needed | 1.82× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Principal Financial Group (PFG), Three White Soldiers on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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