The best indicator for Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Markov Regime
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.5% CAGR.
Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) — trailing buy-and-hold by 8.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 11.7% | 0.62 | -54.3% | 57.7% | 26 | -0.5% |
| 2 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.59 | -42.7% | 56.9% | 499 | -3.9% |
| 3 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.57 | -45.0% | 55.3% | 342 | -5.0% |
| 4 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.57 | -45.0% | 55.9% | 365 | -4.9% |
| 5 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.56 | -51.4% | 54.7% | 139 | -2.0% |
| 6 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.56 | -42.0% | 70.3% | 91 | -5.1% |
| 7 | VIDYA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 9.2% | 0.55 | -51.6% | 36.2% | 58 | -3.0% |
| 8 | QQE ✓ | Daily | 9.6% | 0.54 | -54.0% | 42.2% | 696 | -2.5% |
| 9 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.57 | -63.9% | 35.7% | 14 | -1.7% |
| 10 | Stochastic Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 6.1% | 0.53 | -44.8% | 74.0% | 196 | -6.0% |
| 11 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.53 | -47.1% | 67.7% | 96 | -6.2% |
| 12 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.53 | -47.6% | 69.6% | 23 | -3.8% |
| 13 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 0.52 | -52.3% | 71.3% | 307 | -5.5% |
| 14 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.52 | -47.3% | 64.0% | 25 | -4.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG)
3 of 711 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) outright. Another 114 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 259 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demand Index | 1 | 1.71× | 2.98× |
| MA Envelope | 1 | 2.47× | 3.12× |
| Connors RSI | 1 | none needed | 3.06× |
| SMC: Liquidity Sweep | — | 1.08× | 3.55× |
| Williams %R | — | 1.39× | 2.81× |
| QQE | — | 1.51× | 2.74× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG), Markov Regime on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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