The best indicator for PDD Holdings
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real PDD Holdings history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where PDD Holdings stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Pascal's Weighted MA
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for PDD Holdings over ~8.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 13.8% CAGR.
PDD Holdings on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STARC Bands | Daily | 26.1% | 0.85 | -38.7% | 51.5% | 33 | 12.1% |
| 2 | Bollinger Breakout | Daily | 26.3% | 0.81 | -36.5% | 41.9% | 31 | 12.4% |
| 3 | DEMA 100 Trend | Daily | 26.7% | 0.81 | -44.3% | 34.6% | 52 | 12.8% |
| 4 | Pascal's Weighted MA ✓ | Daily | 27.7% | 0.8 | -48.2% | 41.8% | 91 | 13.8% |
| 5 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Daily | 30.0% | 0.8 | -53.2% | 30.8% | 39 | 16.1% |
| 6 | Connors RSI-2 | Daily | 24.8% | 0.76 | -48.1% | 70.8% | 106 | 10.8% |
| 7 | Three White Soldiers | Weekly | 23.7% | 0.75 | -38.4% | 61.1% | 18 | 8.6% |
| 8 | Regularized EMA ✓ | Daily | 26.9% | 0.74 | -60.9% | 32.5% | 114 | 13.0% |
| 9 | WMA 100 Trend | Daily | 24.0% | 0.73 | -59.9% | 34.4% | 32 | 10.1% |
| 10 | Ichimoku Cloud | Daily | 22.9% | 0.72 | -45.9% | 34.4% | 32 | 8.9% |
| 11 | Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) ✓ | Daily | 23.9% | 0.72 | -43.3% | 34.7% | 101 | 9.9% |
| 12 | Hull MA 200 Trend | Daily | 21.9% | 0.72 | -51.4% | 48.1% | 27 | 8.0% |
| 13 | DEMA 200 Trend | Daily | 21.4% | 0.7 | -40.9% | 32.0% | 25 | 7.4% |
| 14 | Trade Volume Index | Daily | 23.6% | 0.68 | -63.7% | 38.2% | 102 | 9.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on PDD Holdings lost money across the out-of-sample window in 390 of 390 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For PDD Holdings, Pascal's Weighted MA on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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