The best indicator for PDD Holdings
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real PDD Holdings history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where PDD Holdings stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
STARC Bands
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for PDD Holdings over ~7.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 15.5% CAGR.
PDD Holdings on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STARC Bands ✓ | Daily | 29.1% | 0.91 | -31.1% | 54.8% | 31 | 15.5% |
| 2 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 28.1% | 0.84 | -36.5% | 43.3% | 30 | 14.5% |
| 3 | Pascal's Weighted MA ✓ | Daily | 30.1% | 0.84 | -48.2% | 42.0% | 88 | 16.4% |
| 4 | DEMA 100 Trend | Daily | 28.6% | 0.84 | -44.3% | 36.0% | 50 | 15.0% |
| 5 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Daily | 33.1% | 0.84 | -53.2% | 32.4% | 37 | 19.4% |
| 6 | Ichimoku Cloud | Daily | 25.8% | 0.78 | -45.9% | 37.9% | 29 | 12.1% |
| 7 | Hull MA 200 Trend | Daily | 24.0% | 0.76 | -51.4% | 50.0% | 26 | 10.3% |
| 8 | Three White Soldiers | Weekly | 24.6% | 0.76 | -38.4% | 61.1% | 18 | 9.9% |
| 9 | Regularized EMA ✓ | Daily | 27.6% | 0.75 | -60.9% | 32.4% | 111 | 13.9% |
| 10 | Connors RSI-2 | Daily | 23.8% | 0.74 | -48.1% | 70.2% | 104 | 10.2% |
| 11 | WMA 100 Trend | Daily | 25.2% | 0.74 | -59.9% | 35.5% | 31 | 11.5% |
| 12 | Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) ✓ | Daily | 24.7% | 0.73 | -43.3% | 35.1% | 97 | 11.0% |
| 13 | DEMA 200 Trend | Daily | 22.2% | 0.72 | -40.9% | 32.0% | 25 | 8.5% |
| 14 | Std Error Channel ✓ | Daily | 24.0% | 0.71 | -55.3% | 35.8% | 67 | 10.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on PDD Holdings lost money across the out-of-sample window in 390 of 390 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For PDD Holdings, STARC Bands on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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