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The best indicator for PDD Holdings

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real PDD Holdings history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Volatility · Daily

STARC Bands

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for PDD Holdings over ~7.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 15.5% CAGR.

29.1%
CAGR
0.91
Sharpe
-31.1%
Max DD
54.8%
Win rate
3.03
Profit factor
+15.5%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
STARC Bands
+15.5% · Sharpe 0.91
Weekly
Holt Double-Exp MA
+5.8% · Sharpe 0.65
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1STARC Bands Daily29.1%0.91-31.1%54.8%3115.5%
2Bollinger Breakout Daily28.1%0.84-36.5%43.3%3014.5%
3Pascal's Weighted MA Daily30.1%0.84-48.2%42.0%8816.4%
4DEMA 100 TrendDaily28.6%0.84-44.3%36.0%5015.0%
5SMC: Order Block Daily33.1%0.84-53.2%32.4%3719.4%
6Ichimoku CloudDaily25.8%0.78-45.9%37.9%2912.1%
7Hull MA 200 TrendDaily24.0%0.76-51.4%50.0%2610.3%
8Three White SoldiersWeekly24.6%0.76-38.4%61.1%189.9%
9Regularized EMA Daily27.6%0.75-60.9%32.4%11113.9%
10Connors RSI-2Daily23.8%0.74-48.1%70.2%10410.2%
11WMA 100 TrendDaily25.2%0.74-59.9%35.5%3111.5%
12Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) Daily24.7%0.73-43.3%35.1%9711.0%
13DEMA 200 TrendDaily22.2%0.72-40.9%32.0%258.5%
14Std Error Channel Daily24.0%0.71-55.3%35.8%6710.3%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For PDD Holdings, STARC Bands on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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