The best indicator for Paccar (PCAR)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Paccar (PCAR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Paccar (PCAR) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Markov Regime
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Paccar (PCAR) over ~46.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.0% CAGR.
Paccar (PCAR) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Paccar (PCAR) — trailing buy-and-hold by 11.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 14.6% | 0.59 | -66.2% | 47.1% | 85 | 0.0% |
| 2 | Connors RSI ✓ | Weekly | 9.1% | 0.56 | -31.0% | 73.9% | 115 | -5.7% |
| 3 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.54 | -46.2% | 72.6% | 190 | -4.5% |
| 4 | Ultimate Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 8.6% | 0.54 | -58.1% | 74.0% | 50 | -6.0% |
| 5 | QQE ✓ | Daily | 12.3% | 0.53 | -74.6% | 39.5% | 703 | -2.2% |
| 6 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 12.3% | 0.53 | -66.2% | 33.3% | 30 | -2.2% |
| 7 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 11.8% | 0.53 | -70.6% | 53.4% | 133 | -3.0% |
| 8 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Daily | 9.7% | 0.53 | -45.5% | 75.4% | 142 | -4.9% |
| 9 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.52 | -52.2% | 83.9% | 31 | -6.8% |
| 10 | Ehlers Reflex ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.5 | -54.4% | 64.6% | 79 | -6.2% |
| 11 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 11.2% | 0.5 | -64.9% | 41.4% | 29 | -3.7% |
| 12 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.48 | -62.0% | 67.0% | 318 | -6.5% |
| 13 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.48 | -79.3% | 35.7% | 28 | -4.0% |
| 14 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.48 | -64.9% | 52.9% | 17 | -4.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Paccar (PCAR)
0 of 716 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Paccar (PCAR) outright. Another 215 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 383 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | — | 1.36× | 2.84× |
| Negative Volume Index | — | 1.53× | 2.44× |
| Ehlers Reflex | — | 1.69× | 3.45× |
| Demand Index | — | 1.73× | 2.91× |
| WaveTrend (8/6/4) | — | 1.83× | 3.58× |
| SMC: Liquidity Sweep | — | 1.86× | 3.47× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Paccar (PCAR), Markov Regime on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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