The best indicator for Occidental Petroleum (OXY)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Occidental Petroleum (OXY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Occidental Petroleum (OXY) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Money Flow Index
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Occidental Petroleum (OXY) over ~44.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1.3% CAGR.
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Occidental Petroleum (OXY) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 9.6% | 0.52 | -40.7% | 77.1% | 48 | 1.3% |
| 2 | Ultimate Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 8.3% | 0.47 | -78.7% | 66.7% | 36 | 0.0% |
| 3 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.43 | -83.2% | 53.3% | 482 | -0.3% |
| 4 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.6% | 0.42 | -60.5% | 44.6% | 249 | -0.7% |
| 5 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.41 | -50.7% | 52.0% | 25 | -1.1% |
| 6 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.41 | -61.6% | 48.8% | 43 | -1.1% |
| 7 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.41 | -63.5% | 53.3% | 45 | -1.2% |
| 8 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.41 | -79.5% | 54.9% | 355 | -1.1% |
| 9 | Guppy Multiple MA ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.4 | -47.6% | 43.2% | 37 | -1.3% |
| 10 | Donchian 20 Break ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.4 | -44.5% | 56.5% | 23 | -1.2% |
| 11 | EMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.4 | -43.4% | 53.3% | 30 | -1.3% |
| 12 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.4 | -54.7% | 55.9% | 34 | -1.3% |
| 13 | T3 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.7% | 0.39 | -62.0% | 47.1% | 140 | -1.6% |
| 14 | DEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.39 | -61.9% | 47.2% | 36 | -1.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Occidental Petroleum (OXY)
172 of 705 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Occidental Petroleum (OXY) outright. Another 6 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 11 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 50/200 Cross | 1 | none needed | 2.07× |
| EMA 20/50 Cross | 1 | none needed | 1.64× |
| MACD | 1 | none needed | 1.73× |
| RSI Mean-Reversion | 1 | none needed | 3.61× |
| ADX / DMI | 1 | none needed | 2.14× |
| Donchian Breakout | 1 | none needed | 2.03× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Money Flow Index on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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