The best indicator for O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Detrended Price Osc.
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) over ~33.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.2% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) — trailing buy-and-hold by 11.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 18.8% | 0.85 | -43.2% | 60.5% | 195 | -2.2% |
| 2 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Weekly | 16.8% | 0.76 | -35.1% | 81.5% | 27 | -4.2% |
| 3 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Daily | 15.5% | 0.74 | -32.3% | 49.2% | 980 | -5.6% |
| 4 | CCI (50) ✓ | Weekly | 15.5% | 0.74 | -37.9% | 52.9% | 34 | -5.5% |
| 5 | EMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 16.2% | 0.74 | -43.7% | 75.0% | 16 | -4.8% |
| 6 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 16.2% | 0.74 | -44.9% | 75.0% | 16 | -4.7% |
| 7 | Guppy Multiple MA ✓ | Weekly | 15.8% | 0.73 | -43.7% | 64.7% | 17 | -5.2% |
| 8 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 19.3% | 0.73 | -48.6% | 58.8% | 97 | -1.7% |
| 9 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 15.6% | 0.72 | -41.1% | 76.0% | 25 | -5.4% |
| 10 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 16.3% | 0.71 | -45.0% | 73.3% | 15 | -4.8% |
| 11 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | Weekly | 15.0% | 0.71 | -45.6% | 71.4% | 28 | -5.9% |
| 12 | CCI (100) ✓ | Weekly | 15.6% | 0.71 | -50.1% | 75.0% | 16 | -5.4% |
| 13 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 15.9% | 0.7 | -47.5% | 64.7% | 17 | -5.2% |
| 14 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 13.3% | 0.7 | -51.0% | 66.8% | 298 | -7.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY), Detrended Price Osc. on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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