The best indicator for NRG Energy (NRG)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real NRG Energy (NRG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where NRG Energy (NRG) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
FRAMA 10/30 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for NRG Energy (NRG) over ~22.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 4.1% CAGR.
NRG Energy (NRG) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for NRG Energy (NRG) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FRAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 15.9% | 0.69 | -51.8% | 53.9% | 89 | 4.1% |
| 2 | Chaikin Money Flow ✓ | Weekly | 16.5% | 0.68 | -56.8% | 60.5% | 43 | 4.7% |
| 3 | ADX Strong Trend ✓ | Daily | 8.5% | 0.65 | -31.7% | 41.3% | 92 | -3.6% |
| 4 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | 13.7% | 0.63 | -48.5% | 52.6% | 38 | 1.5% |
| 5 | Bullish Engulfing ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.58 | -34.3% | 58.0% | 50 | -1.5% |
| 6 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.2% | 0.56 | -59.8% | 42.1% | 19 | 0.4% |
| 7 | SMA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.3% | 0.55 | -46.1% | 34.9% | 126 | -1.9% |
| 8 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.55 | -61.4% | 50.0% | 28 | -0.4% |
| 9 | Ichimoku Cloud ✓ | Weekly | 11.8% | 0.55 | -46.3% | 42.1% | 19 | -0.0% |
| 10 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.54 | -61.7% | 79.5% | 78 | -0.3% |
| 11 | Chandelier Exit ✓ | Weekly | 12.4% | 0.54 | -57.1% | 52.5% | 40 | 0.6% |
| 12 | EMA 9/26 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.54 | -66.6% | 33.3% | 18 | -0.1% |
| 13 | TRIX (9) ✓ | Weekly | 11.2% | 0.53 | -62.1% | 45.0% | 20 | -0.6% |
| 14 | ROC (60) ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.53 | -55.9% | 42.9% | 28 | -0.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on NRG Energy (NRG)
6 of 669 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on NRG Energy (NRG) outright. Another 139 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 441 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero-Lag EMA Cross | 1 | none needed | 2.82× |
| Connors RSI | 1 | none needed | 2.54× |
| ZLEMA 10/30 Cross | 1 | none needed | 2.82× |
| Woodie Pivots | 1 | none needed | 3.46× |
| Projection Bands | 1 | none needed | 2.83× |
| Hull MA 10/40 Cross | 1 | none needed | 2.68× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For NRG Energy (NRG), FRAMA 10/30 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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