The best indicator for NIO
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real NIO history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where NIO stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
CCI (30)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for NIO over ~8.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 50.8% CAGR.
NIO on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stochastic Fast (5,3) | Daily | 41.6% | 0.88 | -74.2% | 47.6% | 250 | 49.4% |
| 2 | CCI (30) ✓ | Daily | 42.9% | 0.88 | -62.5% | 30.3% | 66 | 50.8% |
| 3 | Bollinger Squeeze ✓ | Daily | 28.4% | 0.83 | -53.4% | 50.0% | 20 | 36.2% |
| 4 | B-Xtrender ✓ | Weekly | 40.5% | 0.83 | -61.7% | 46.7% | 30 | 52.8% |
| 5 | Ulcer Index ✓ | Daily | 32.8% | 0.81 | -71.3% | 39.2% | 51 | 40.6% |
| 6 | T3 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 33.6% | 0.81 | -59.8% | 36.7% | 30 | 41.4% |
| 7 | MA Ribbon ✓ | Daily | 31.2% | 0.8 | -51.7% | 31.8% | 22 | 39.1% |
| 8 | Fractal Adaptive MA ✓ | Daily | 33.7% | 0.8 | -72.4% | 41.1% | 219 | 41.5% |
| 9 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | Daily | 35.2% | 0.8 | -69.2% | 35.3% | 68 | 43.0% |
| 10 | WMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 34.9% | 0.8 | -68.8% | 36.6% | 82 | 42.7% |
| 11 | Trend-Gated Asymmetric | Daily | 24.9% | 0.8 | -41.7% | 55.6% | 18 | 32.8% |
| 12 | EMA Cascade Rider ✓ | Daily | 32.4% | 0.8 | -62.7% | 35.0% | 20 | 40.2% |
| 13 | Ichimoku Cloud ✓ | Daily | 32.3% | 0.79 | -69.9% | 26.7% | 30 | 40.1% |
| 14 | LSMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 32.1% | 0.79 | -73.6% | 20.7% | 29 | 39.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on NIO lost money across the out-of-sample window in 356 of 356 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For NIO, CCI (30) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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