The best indicator for NIO
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real NIO history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Stochastic Fast (5,3)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for NIO over ~7.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 52.1% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stochastic Fast (5,3) ✓ | Daily | 47.9% | 0.95 | -74.2% | 48.1% | 241 | 52.1% |
| 2 | CCI (30) ✓ | Daily | 44.7% | 0.9 | -62.5% | 30.3% | 66 | 48.9% |
| 3 | Fractal Adaptive MA ✓ | Daily | 38.3% | 0.86 | -72.4% | 41.5% | 212 | 42.5% |
| 4 | Bollinger Squeeze ✓ | Daily | 29.5% | 0.84 | -53.4% | 50.0% | 20 | 33.7% |
| 5 | B-Xtrender ✓ | Weekly | 42.2% | 0.84 | -61.7% | 46.7% | 30 | 51.2% |
| 6 | WMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 37.4% | 0.83 | -68.8% | 37.5% | 80 | 41.6% |
| 7 | Ulcer Index ✓ | Daily | 34.0% | 0.82 | -71.3% | 39.2% | 51 | 38.3% |
| 8 | T3 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 34.9% | 0.82 | -59.8% | 36.7% | 30 | 39.1% |
| 9 | Ichimoku Cloud ✓ | Daily | 33.6% | 0.81 | -69.9% | 26.7% | 30 | 37.8% |
| 10 | MA Ribbon ✓ | Daily | 32.5% | 0.81 | -51.7% | 31.8% | 22 | 36.7% |
| 11 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | Daily | 36.7% | 0.81 | -69.2% | 35.8% | 67 | 40.9% |
| 12 | CMO (21) ✓ | Daily | 36.9% | 0.81 | -75.6% | 36.8% | 76 | 41.1% |
| 13 | Trend-Gated Asymmetric | Daily | 25.9% | 0.81 | -41.7% | 55.6% | 18 | 30.1% |
| 14 | EMA Cascade Rider ✓ | Daily | 33.7% | 0.81 | -62.7% | 35.0% | 20 | 37.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For NIO, Stochastic Fast (5,3) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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