The best indicator for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Zero-Lag MACD
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) over ~13.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 17.9% CAGR.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) — beating buy-and-hold by 8.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 14.2% | 0.55 | -47.9% | 57.9% | 57 | 17.9% |
| 2 | Accelerator Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 14.2% | 0.53 | -50.5% | 42.5% | 193 | 18.0% |
| 3 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 11.3% | 0.5 | -50.7% | 68.4% | 19 | 15.0% |
| 4 | Fisher Center-of-Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 9.6% | 0.48 | -50.8% | 56.9% | 72 | 13.4% |
| 5 | Klinger Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 11.3% | 0.47 | -55.0% | 44.8% | 319 | 15.0% |
| 6 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 8.8% | 0.46 | -50.9% | 80.0% | 25 | 12.5% |
| 7 | TEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.3% | 0.44 | -52.2% | 41.4% | 145 | 14.1% |
| 8 | Ehlers Cyber Cycle ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.44 | -52.1% | 47.1% | 70 | 14.3% |
| 9 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.43 | -54.3% | 72.7% | 22 | 12.5% |
| 10 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 14.2% | 0.52 | -60.8% | 66.7% | 12 | 17.9% |
| 11 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 8.8% | 0.41 | -58.8% | 38.6% | 127 | 12.5% |
| 12 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.41 | -61.3% | 66.7% | 15 | 12.5% |
| 13 | Volume Zone Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 8.5% | 0.4 | -57.0% | 45.8% | 330 | 12.2% |
| 14 | Zero-Lag EMA Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.39 | -56.8% | 39.8% | 166 | 11.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH)
164 of 585 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) outright. Another 28 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 41 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fisher Transform | 2 | none needed | 2.08× |
| Klinger Oscillator | 2 | none needed | 2.51× |
| Least Squares MA | 2 | none needed | 2.66× |
| Waddah Attar Explosion | 2 | none needed | 4.64× |
| Chande Forecast Osc. | 2 | none needed | 2.25× |
| B-Xtrender | 2 | none needed | 2.75× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), Zero-Lag MACD on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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