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The best indicator for MicroStrategy

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real MicroStrategy history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Volatility · Daily

Chandelier Exit

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for MicroStrategy over ~28.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 24.0% CAGR.

31.7%
CAGR
0.76
Sharpe
-81.2%
Max DD
42.0%
Win rate
2.15
Profit factor
+24.0%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
Chandelier Exit
+24.0% · Sharpe 0.76
Weekly
Perfect Trend Line
+19.4% · Sharpe 0.72
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Chandelier Exit Daily31.7%0.76-81.2%42.0%25724.0%
2ROC (5) Daily30.5%0.75-73.7%40.9%72722.7%
3Williams %R (28) Daily28.8%0.75-80.8%37.3%28421.1%
4Trendlines with Breaks Daily28.0%0.75-77.5%49.2%5920.2%
5Ichimoku TK Cross Daily26.8%0.73-96.7%43.2%16219.1%
6SSL Channel Daily28.7%0.73-73.8%36.9%28720.9%
7Hull Suite Daily26.9%0.72-86.0%42.7%15019.1%
8Gaussian Channel Daily28.1%0.72-68.3%40.6%52220.3%
9RSI (7) Daily28.3%0.72-77.1%40.6%54220.6%
10Elder Bull Power Daily28.3%0.72-77.1%40.6%54220.5%
11Perfect Trend Line Weekly27.1%0.72-84.6%44.2%15419.4%
12Smoothed Heikin-Ashi Daily27.7%0.71-73.1%41.0%49019.9%
13Gann HiLo Activator Daily27.9%0.71-76.2%39.6%49720.2%
14TSI (13,7) Daily25.9%0.71-88.8%34.1%21118.1%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For MicroStrategy, Chandelier Exit on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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