The best indicator for MicroStrategy
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real MicroStrategy history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where MicroStrategy stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Chandelier Exit
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for MicroStrategy over ~28.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 23.4% CAGR.
MicroStrategy on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chandelier Exit ✓ | Daily | 33.3% | 0.78 | -81.2% | 42.2% | 258 | 23.4% |
| 2 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | Daily | 30.1% | 0.77 | -80.8% | 37.6% | 287 | 20.2% |
| 3 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Daily | 28.8% | 0.76 | -96.7% | 43.9% | 164 | 18.8% |
| 4 | Trendlines with Breaks ✓ | Daily | 27.6% | 0.75 | -77.5% | 48.3% | 60 | 17.7% |
| 5 | Hull Suite ✓ | Daily | 28.6% | 0.74 | -86.0% | 43.0% | 151 | 18.7% |
| 6 | ROC (5) ✓ | Daily | 29.8% | 0.74 | -77.7% | 41.1% | 738 | 19.9% |
| 7 | RSI (7) ✓ | Daily | 28.6% | 0.73 | -77.1% | 40.7% | 550 | 18.6% |
| 8 | Perfect Trend Line ✓ | Weekly | 27.6% | 0.73 | -84.6% | 44.9% | 156 | 17.7% |
| 9 | SSL Channel ✓ | Daily | 28.2% | 0.72 | -73.8% | 37.0% | 292 | 18.3% |
| 10 | Gaussian Channel ✓ | Daily | 28.2% | 0.72 | -68.3% | 40.7% | 531 | 18.3% |
| 11 | TSI (13,7) ✓ | Daily | 26.8% | 0.72 | -88.8% | 34.6% | 214 | 16.9% |
| 12 | Elder Bull Power ✓ | Daily | 28.5% | 0.72 | -77.1% | 40.7% | 550 | 18.6% |
| 13 | ALMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 24.9% | 0.72 | -81.4% | 39.4% | 109 | 15.0% |
| 14 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 27.9% | 0.72 | -81.2% | 48.3% | 151 | 18.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on MicroStrategy
286 of 647 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on MicroStrategy outright. Another 112 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 218 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMA 8/21 Cross | 2 | none needed | 1.26× |
| Momentum | 2 | none needed | 1.38× |
| Chandelier Exit | 2 | none needed | 1.46× |
| Chande Kroll Stop | 2 | none needed | 1.22× |
| Elder Impulse | 2 | none needed | 1.91× |
| Least Squares MA | 2 | none needed | 1.43× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For MicroStrategy, Chandelier Exit on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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