The best indicator for Marathon Petroleum (MPC)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Marathon Petroleum (MPC) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
TEMA 20/50 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) over ~14.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 5.1% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) — trailing buy-and-hold by 10.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 27.9% | 1.09 | -32.8% | 59.5% | 79 | 5.1% |
| 2 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 27.4% | 1.04 | -35.1% | 53.8% | 80 | 4.6% |
| 3 | DEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 26.4% | 1.01 | -30.7% | 50.9% | 116 | 3.5% |
| 4 | T3 8/21 Cross ✓ | Daily | 25.1% | 0.98 | -43.1% | 55.4% | 65 | 2.2% |
| 5 | Price Momentum Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 25.1% | 0.98 | -35.8% | 48.6% | 107 | 2.3% |
| 6 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 24.4% | 0.97 | -29.4% | 57.7% | 78 | 1.7% |
| 7 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Daily | 24.5% | 0.97 | -40.3% | 46.1% | 102 | 1.7% |
| 8 | Chandelier Exit ✓ | Daily | 27.4% | 0.96 | -41.7% | 45.5% | 123 | 4.6% |
| 9 | Keltner Breakout ✓ | Daily | 16.8% | 0.94 | -23.1% | 66.7% | 42 | -6.1% |
| 10 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 22.6% | 0.94 | -31.4% | 65.6% | 61 | -0.0% |
| 11 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 22.6% | 0.94 | -31.4% | 65.6% | 61 | -0.0% |
| 12 | Stoch RSI (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 22.8% | 0.93 | -33.8% | 57.3% | 75 | 0.1% |
| 13 | Know Sure Thing ✓ | Daily | 22.8% | 0.92 | -35.3% | 52.5% | 101 | -0.1% |
| 14 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Daily | 22.6% | 0.91 | -45.3% | 58.2% | 67 | -0.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Marathon Petroleum (MPC), TEMA 20/50 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get alerted when Marathon Petroleum’s signal flips
We track Marathon Petroleum daily. Its backtested best indicator, TEMA 20/50 Cross (Daily), is long right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.