The best indicator for Altria (MO)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Altria (MO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Altria (MO) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
True Strength Index
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Altria (MO) over ~65.0 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.0% CAGR.
Altria (MO) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Altria (MO) — trailing buy-and-hold by 8.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | True Strength Index ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.76 | -31.0% | 59.4% | 128 | -5.0% |
| 2 | PMax ✓ | Weekly | 14.6% | 0.76 | -39.0% | 80.0% | 15 | -2.6% |
| 3 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 14.5% | 0.76 | -49.2% | 53.6% | 28 | -2.6% |
| 4 | SMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 14.9% | 0.76 | -39.4% | 83.3% | 18 | -2.3% |
| 5 | Trendlines with Breaks ✓ | Weekly | 14.5% | 0.76 | -47.7% | 66.7% | 24 | -2.6% |
| 6 | Trend Intensity Index ✓ | Weekly | 16.1% | 0.81 | -44.5% | 78.6% | 14 | -1.1% |
| 7 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 17.1% | 0.75 | -65.4% | 26.3% | 19 | -0.1% |
| 8 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 14.6% | 0.75 | -42.7% | 66.7% | 21 | -2.5% |
| 9 | CCI (100) ✓ | Weekly | 14.4% | 0.75 | -40.9% | 54.5% | 44 | -2.7% |
| 10 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 16.9% | 0.75 | -65.1% | 62.5% | 40 | -0.2% |
| 11 | Pivot Point SuperTrend ✓ | Weekly | 14.7% | 0.75 | -39.6% | 72.2% | 18 | -2.4% |
| 12 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.6% | 0.74 | -34.0% | 49.7% | 195 | -4.6% |
| 13 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 16.7% | 0.74 | -65.4% | 34.9% | 43 | -0.5% |
| 14 | Guppy Multiple MA ✓ | Weekly | 14.0% | 0.74 | -54.4% | 50.0% | 42 | -3.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Altria (MO)
5 of 726 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Altria (MO) outright. Another 248 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 336 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA Envelope | 1 | none needed | 2.35× |
| Pivot Points (Standard) | 1 | none needed | 3.57× |
| Camarilla Pivots | 1 | none needed | 2.91× |
| Fibonacci Pivots | 1 | none needed | 3.04× |
| Markov Regime (Confirmed) | 1 | none needed | 2.47× |
| Donchian 20 Break | — | 1.39× | 3.49× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Altria (MO), True Strength Index on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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