The best indicator for McCormick & Company (MKC)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real McCormick & Company (MKC) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where McCormick & Company (MKC) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Stochastic
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for McCormick & Company (MKC) over ~53.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.1% CAGR.
McCormick & Company (MKC) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for McCormick & Company (MKC) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 9.4% | 0.59 | -50.8% | 74.3% | 241 | -0.1% |
| 2 | Fisher Transform | Daily | 9.6% | 0.58 | -63.1% | 44.9% | 1224 | 0.1% |
| 3 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Daily | 8.4% | 0.58 | -32.4% | 81.0% | 153 | -1.1% |
| 4 | Stochastic Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.57 | -52.3% | 78.4% | 227 | -1.4% |
| 5 | Connors RSI ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.57 | -37.1% | 67.4% | 129 | -1.6% |
| 6 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 8.3% | 0.54 | -50.3% | 72.6% | 215 | -1.2% |
| 7 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 7.6% | 0.53 | -47.5% | 71.3% | 265 | -1.9% |
| 8 | Projection Bands ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.53 | -33.4% | 76.0% | 96 | -2.2% |
| 9 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.52 | -44.1% | 71.1% | 114 | -2.0% |
| 10 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.51 | -52.0% | 17.9% | 28 | 0.6% |
| 11 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 7.4% | 0.5 | -52.1% | 73.8% | 332 | -2.1% |
| 12 | DeMarker ✓ | Daily | 7.0% | 0.5 | -34.8% | 69.2% | 214 | -2.5% |
| 13 | Parabolic SAR (fast) ✓ | Daily | 7.9% | 0.5 | -67.9% | 44.6% | 930 | -1.6% |
| 14 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 9.3% | 0.5 | -52.0% | 45.3% | 64 | -0.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on McCormick & Company (MKC)
4 of 718 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on McCormick & Company (MKC) outright. Another 186 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 370 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMA 200 Trend | 1 | 1.93× | 2.29× |
| SMA 100 Trend | 1 | 1.98× | 3.6× |
| Ultimate Oscillator | 1 | none needed | 2.68× |
| TRIMA 100 Trend | 1 | none needed | 3.07× |
| WMA 200 Trend | — | 1.37× | 2.72× |
| Stochastic | — | 1.61× | 3.37× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For McCormick & Company (MKC), Stochastic on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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