The best indicator for MGM Resorts (MGM)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real MGM Resorts (MGM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where MGM Resorts (MGM) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Median MA
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for MGM Resorts (MGM) over ~38.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 3.0% CAGR.
MGM Resorts (MGM) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for MGM Resorts (MGM) — beating buy-and-hold by 0.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Median MA ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.51 | -46.6% | 50.8% | 118 | 3.0% |
| 2 | MACD | Daily | 12.0% | 0.5 | -74.4% | 42.9% | 359 | 5.2% |
| 3 | Deviation-Scaled MA | Daily | 11.8% | 0.5 | -62.1% | 41.6% | 984 | 5.1% |
| 4 | True Strength Index ✓ | Daily | 11.7% | 0.49 | -68.0% | 41.3% | 397 | 4.9% |
| 5 | Gann HiLo Activator ✓ | Daily | 11.4% | 0.49 | -65.2% | 42.6% | 716 | 4.7% |
| 6 | Range Filter | Daily | 7.6% | 0.48 | -49.7% | 43.9% | 627 | 0.8% |
| 7 | MACD-V ✓ | Daily | 11.1% | 0.48 | -70.2% | 40.8% | 370 | 4.4% |
| 8 | FRAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.47 | -61.1% | 38.4% | 740 | 3.9% |
| 9 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 9.9% | 0.45 | -60.7% | 38.2% | 827 | 3.2% |
| 10 | Percentage Price Osc. | Daily | 10.1% | 0.45 | -69.8% | 42.1% | 366 | 3.3% |
| 11 | PPO Cross | Daily | 10.1% | 0.45 | -69.8% | 42.1% | 366 | 3.3% |
| 12 | Disparity (10) ✓ | Daily | 9.9% | 0.45 | -60.7% | 38.2% | 827 | 3.2% |
| 13 | T3 (Tillson) | Daily | 9.8% | 0.44 | -73.8% | 38.0% | 700 | 3.0% |
| 14 | DMI Direction | Daily | 9.5% | 0.44 | -53.5% | 35.4% | 384 | 2.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on MGM Resorts (MGM)
39 of 701 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on MGM Resorts (MGM) outright. Another 33 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 94 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero-Lag MACD | 4 | none needed | 1.62× |
| Stochastic | 2 | none needed | 1.9× |
| Williams %R | 2 | none needed | 2.05× |
| CCI | 2 | none needed | 2.69× |
| WaveTrend (8/6/4) | 2 | none needed | 2.07× |
| Laguerre RSI | 2 | none needed | 2.97× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For MGM Resorts (MGM), Median MA on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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