The best indicator for Medtronic (MDT)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Medtronic (MDT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Medtronic (MDT) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
McGinley 100 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Medtronic (MDT) over ~53.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.5% CAGR.
Medtronic (MDT) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Medtronic (MDT) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 12.8% | 0.56 | -57.6% | 18.2% | 33 | 0.5% |
| 2 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 12.3% | 0.55 | -58.2% | 16.7% | 30 | -0.0% |
| 3 | Donchian 55/20 ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.55 | -51.4% | 50.0% | 16 | -2.3% |
| 4 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.55 | -56.2% | 31.2% | 16 | 0.4% |
| 5 | Chande Forecast Osc. | Daily | 9.5% | 0.54 | -77.1% | 44.0% | 1537 | -2.8% |
| 6 | Donchian 20 Break ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.54 | -64.0% | 50.0% | 26 | -1.9% |
| 7 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 11.8% | 0.54 | -65.5% | 16.7% | 18 | -0.4% |
| 8 | Ehlers SuperSmoother | Daily | 9.2% | 0.53 | -90.1% | 43.0% | 1834 | -3.1% |
| 9 | Accumulation Swing Index | Daily | 9.3% | 0.53 | -96.8% | 44.4% | 2937 | -3.0% |
| 10 | Swing Index | Daily | 9.3% | 0.53 | -96.8% | 44.4% | 2937 | -3.1% |
| 11 | Woodie Pivots | Daily | 9.3% | 0.53 | -96.8% | 44.6% | 2891 | -3.0% |
| 12 | T3 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.53 | -56.3% | 55.8% | 77 | -3.2% |
| 13 | TRIX (21) ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.53 | -58.8% | 52.6% | 19 | -1.7% |
| 14 | Chaikin Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.52 | -62.1% | 51.4% | 138 | -3.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Medtronic (MDT)
2 of 718 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Medtronic (MDT) outright. Another 204 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 264 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intraday Momentum Index | 1 | none needed | 3.73× |
| Ehlers Cyber Cycle | 1 | none needed | 4.72× |
| Hull Suite | — | 1.49× | 3.72× |
| Coppock Curve | — | 1.59× | 2.93× |
| Ichimoku TK Cross | — | 1.67× | 3.51× |
| WMA 10/30 Cross | — | 1.82× | 3.15× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Medtronic (MDT), McGinley 100 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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