The best indicator for Mastercard (MA)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Mastercard (MA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Mastercard (MA) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Detrended Price Osc.
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Mastercard (MA) over ~20.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 10.3% CAGR.
Mastercard (MA) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Mastercard (MA) — trailing buy-and-hold by 17.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 16.9% | 0.9 | -45.3% | 64.9% | 131 | -10.3% |
| 2 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Weekly | 21.6% | 0.9 | -38.0% | 72.2% | 18 | -5.6% |
| 3 | Instantaneous Trendline | Weekly | 19.7% | 0.88 | -36.3% | 60.0% | 40 | -7.5% |
| 4 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 15.4% | 0.88 | -32.3% | 57.6% | 210 | -11.8% |
| 5 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Weekly | 18.4% | 0.86 | -34.1% | 62.2% | 37 | -8.8% |
| 6 | Elastic VW MA | Weekly | 20.2% | 0.86 | -41.6% | 51.5% | 33 | -7.0% |
| 7 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 20.0% | 0.86 | -38.0% | 61.1% | 18 | -7.1% |
| 8 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Weekly | 19.7% | 0.85 | -38.0% | 63.2% | 19 | -7.5% |
| 9 | Supertrend Fast (10,2) | Weekly | 17.5% | 0.84 | -35.7% | 61.9% | 21 | -9.6% |
| 10 | DMI Direction | Weekly | 18.0% | 0.84 | -34.4% | 47.5% | 40 | -9.1% |
| 11 | Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) | Weekly | 20.7% | 0.84 | -51.8% | 65.5% | 55 | -6.4% |
| 12 | KAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 19.7% | 0.84 | -50.5% | 48.1% | 27 | -7.5% |
| 13 | KAMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 21.6% | 0.84 | -59.3% | 50.0% | 20 | -5.5% |
| 14 | Supertrend (10,2) | Weekly | 17.5% | 0.84 | -35.7% | 61.9% | 21 | -9.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Mastercard (MA)
23 of 627 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Mastercard (MA) outright. Another 35 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 40 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demand Index | 2 | none needed | 6.54× |
| Projection Bands | 2 | none needed | 7.38× |
| Connors RSI | 1 | 1.06× | 6.54× |
| MA Envelope | 1 | 1.08× | 6.03× |
| Markov Regime (Confirmed) | 1 | 2.0× | 4.22× |
| Connors RSI-2 | 1 | 2.84× | 5.32× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Mastercard (MA), Detrended Price Osc. on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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