The best indicator for Mastercard (MA)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Mastercard (MA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Detrended Price Osc.
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Mastercard (MA) over ~20.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.3% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Mastercard (MA) — trailing buy-and-hold by 17.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 17.6% | 0.92 | -45.3% | 66.4% | 131 | -9.3% |
| 2 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Weekly | 22.3% | 0.91 | -38.0% | 76.5% | 17 | -4.6% |
| 3 | Instantaneous Trendline ✓ | Weekly | 19.8% | 0.88 | -36.2% | 59.0% | 39 | -7.1% |
| 4 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Weekly | 20.4% | 0.87 | -41.6% | 50.0% | 32 | -6.5% |
| 5 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 15.1% | 0.87 | -32.4% | 57.8% | 206 | -11.8% |
| 6 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Weekly | 19.9% | 0.86 | -38.0% | 66.7% | 18 | -7.0% |
| 7 | KAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 20.1% | 0.86 | -50.5% | 44.0% | 25 | -6.8% |
| 8 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Weekly | 18.1% | 0.85 | -34.1% | 61.1% | 36 | -8.8% |
| 9 | Supertrend Fast (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 17.7% | 0.84 | -35.7% | 60.0% | 20 | -9.2% |
| 10 | Relative Volatility Index | Weekly | 19.0% | 0.84 | -45.5% | 56.1% | 57 | -7.9% |
| 11 | DMI Direction ✓ | Weekly | 18.0% | 0.84 | -34.4% | 46.2% | 39 | -8.9% |
| 12 | KAMA 30 Trend | Weekly | 19.1% | 0.84 | -36.5% | 50.0% | 40 | -7.8% |
| 13 | KAMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 21.8% | 0.84 | -59.3% | 47.4% | 19 | -5.1% |
| 14 | Supertrend (7,2) ✓ | Weekly | 17.5% | 0.84 | -35.7% | 60.0% | 20 | -9.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Mastercard (MA), Detrended Price Osc. on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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