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The best indicator for Southwest Airlines (LUV)

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Southwest Airlines (LUV) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling FLAT right now — EMA 20/50 Cross (Daily) is out of the market. Signal as of 2026-09-10.
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Key levels · as of 2026-09-09

Where Southwest Airlines (LUV) stands

38.68
last daily close (2026-09-09)
42.73
200-day simple moving average price 9.5% below
44.70
50-day simple moving average price 13.5% below
29.15–54.07
52-week range

Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.

Trend · Daily

EMA 20/50 Cross

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Southwest Airlines (LUV) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.2% CAGR.

12.6%
CAGR
0.58
Sharpe
-66.0%
Max DD
38.7%
Win rate
3.55
Profit factor
-0.2%
vs Buy&Hold
Chart

Southwest Airlines (LUV) on the daily chart

The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.

Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.

NOTHING BEAT BUY-AND-HOLD
Full strategy report — every setup ranked out-of-sample, corrected for data-mining, and forward-tracked in public.
Read the verdict
Confluence · Daily

Best multi-indicator combo

HalfTrendFisher Transform

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Southwest Airlines (LUV) — trailing buy-and-hold by 8.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

4.2%
CAGR
0.31
Sharpe
45.7%
Win rate
787
Trades
-8.6%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
EMA 20/50 Cross
-0.2% · Sharpe 0.58
Weekly
Cutler's RSI
-0.4% · Sharpe 0.58
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1EMA 20/50 Cross Daily12.6%0.58-66.0%38.7%93-0.2%
2Cutler's RSI Weekly12.4%0.58-72.5%45.5%132-0.4%
3ROC (14) Weekly12.4%0.58-72.5%45.5%132-0.4%
4CMO (14) Weekly12.4%0.58-72.5%45.5%132-0.4%
5EMA 15/60 Cross Daily12.2%0.57-70.1%39.8%98-0.6%
6Inverse Fisher RSI Weekly12.1%0.57-72.7%41.1%73-0.6%
7Trendlines with Breaks Daily12.1%0.57-58.7%41.7%96-0.7%
8Instantaneous Trendline Weekly11.9%0.56-71.0%42.0%81-0.8%
9SMA 5/20 Cross Weekly11.8%0.56-64.0%41.4%70-0.9%
10Std Error Channel Weekly11.3%0.56-56.0%35.2%88-1.5%
11Premier Stochastic Weekly11.6%0.55-69.3%45.7%81-1.1%
12ROC (60) Daily11.4%0.54-61.6%36.9%295-1.4%
13Coral Trend Weekly11.5%0.54-66.6%37.7%53-1.3%
14Coppock (fast) Weekly11.2%0.54-70.8%43.6%78-1.5%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

The leverage question

What it would take to beat buy & hold on Southwest Airlines (LUV)

24 of 719 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Southwest Airlines (LUV) outright. Another 273 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 369 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.

IndicatorBeats B&H unlevered Leverage neededLeverage survived
Parabolic SAR11.08×2.17×
QQE11.28×1.53×
Gann HiLo Activator11.33×2.1×
Fisher Transform11.34×2.45×
Smoothed Heikin-Ashi11.52×2.34×
HalfTrend11.81×2.18×

Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way

What this means

For Southwest Airlines (LUV), EMA 20/50 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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