The best indicator for Lucid
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Lucid history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Bollinger Breakout
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Lucid over ~5.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 68.9% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 28.6% | 0.71 | -55.4% | 31.6% | 19 | 68.9% |
| 2 | Bullish Harami ✓ | Daily | 26.8% | 0.71 | -49.3% | 48.7% | 76 | 67.1% |
| 3 | Standard Error Bands ✓ | Daily | 17.7% | 0.62 | -43.6% | 52.9% | 17 | 58.0% |
| 4 | Tweezer Bottom | Daily | 16.5% | 0.6 | -54.0% | 48.3% | 29 | 56.8% |
| 5 | Morning Star ✓ | Weekly | 29.4% | 0.74 | -63.3% | 66.7% | 12 | 69.3% |
| 6 | Bollinger Squeeze ✓ | Daily | 30.5% | 0.78 | -41.9% | 54.5% | 11 | 70.7% |
| 7 | Acceleration Bands | Daily | 17.9% | 0.57 | -44.1% | 45.9% | 37 | 58.2% |
| 8 | Squeeze Momentum ✓ | Daily | 17.3% | 0.55 | -53.0% | 45.6% | 57 | 57.6% |
| 9 | Pascal's Weighted MA ✓ | Daily | 16.1% | 0.53 | -67.2% | 34.0% | 53 | 56.4% |
| 10 | Hammer | Daily | 11.2% | 0.53 | -31.8% | 68.0% | 25 | 51.5% |
| 11 | Predictive Ranges | Daily | 12.3% | 0.48 | -82.6% | 34.6% | 26 | 52.5% |
| 12 | Choppiness Index | Daily | 11.3% | 0.47 | -41.7% | 47.1% | 17 | 51.6% |
| 13 | STARC Bands | Daily | 12.4% | 0.47 | -61.6% | 56.2% | 16 | 52.6% |
| 14 | ALMA 30 Trend | Daily | 10.1% | 0.45 | -76.5% | 28.6% | 70 | 50.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Lucid, Bollinger Breakout on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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