The best indicator for Kroger (KR)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Kroger (KR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Kroger (KR) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
SMA 20/80 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Kroger (KR) over ~64.3 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.1% CAGR.
Kroger (KR) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Kroger (KR) — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.5% | 0.58 | -54.9% | 50.5% | 105 | -2.1% |
| 2 | Donchian 100 Break ✓ | Daily | 10.8% | 0.57 | -53.8% | 68.8% | 32 | -1.7% |
| 3 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 12.3% | 0.56 | -66.8% | 27.9% | 43 | -0.2% |
| 4 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.54 | -49.8% | 48.5% | 33 | -2.4% |
| 5 | EMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.5% | 0.53 | -67.0% | 40.2% | 107 | -3.0% |
| 6 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.5% | 0.52 | -60.6% | 57.4% | 47 | -3.0% |
| 7 | PMax ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.52 | -66.1% | 49.0% | 102 | -3.4% |
| 8 | Trend Intensity Index ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.51 | -56.9% | 50.0% | 98 | -3.5% |
| 9 | TRIX (21) ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.51 | -61.4% | 48.3% | 120 | -3.5% |
| 10 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.51 | -83.7% | 41.5% | 41 | -1.5% |
| 11 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.5 | -76.1% | 51.4% | 148 | -3.8% |
| 12 | Pivot Point SuperTrend ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.5 | -50.9% | 50.4% | 133 | -3.8% |
| 13 | McGinley 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.49 | -68.5% | 36.6% | 123 | -3.6% |
| 14 | VIDYA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.49 | -70.8% | 45.6% | 68 | -3.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Kroger (KR)
3 of 732 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Kroger (KR) outright. Another 97 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 349 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demand Index | 1 | 1.44× | 2.33× |
| Pivot Points (Standard) | 1 | none needed | 3.62× |
| Fibonacci Pivots | 1 | none needed | 3.64× |
| Projection Bands | — | 1.09× | 4.42× |
| Stochastic | — | 1.36× | 2.78× |
| MA Envelope | — | 1.46× | 3.67× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Kroger (KR), SMA 20/80 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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