The best indicator for Kroger (KR)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Kroger (KR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Kroger (KR) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
MAMA / FAMA
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Kroger (KR) over ~65.0 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.3% CAGR.
Kroger (KR) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Kroger (KR) — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.59 | -51.8% | 56.1% | 57 | -1.3% |
| 2 | SMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.57 | -54.9% | 50.0% | 106 | -2.0% |
| 3 | EMA 8/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.57 | -60.7% | 50.0% | 66 | -1.6% |
| 4 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.7% | 0.57 | -63.0% | 27.3% | 22 | 0.4% |
| 5 | Donchian 100 Break ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.56 | -50.9% | 68.8% | 32 | -1.7% |
| 6 | Hull Suite ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.56 | -49.2% | 56.1% | 66 | -2.1% |
| 7 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 12.1% | 0.55 | -66.8% | 27.9% | 43 | -0.2% |
| 8 | Awesome Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.55 | -48.3% | 61.8% | 55 | -2.2% |
| 9 | Relative Momentum Index ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.55 | -59.1% | 53.3% | 60 | -2.1% |
| 10 | EMA 9/26 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.55 | -58.4% | 54.5% | 55 | -2.2% |
| 11 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.55 | -52.6% | 54.3% | 46 | -2.3% |
| 12 | WMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.55 | -56.1% | 53.6% | 56 | -2.2% |
| 13 | T3 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.55 | -62.4% | 50.0% | 34 | -2.5% |
| 14 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.55 | -63.0% | 45.5% | 33 | -0.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Kroger (KR)
3 of 732 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Kroger (KR) outright. Another 97 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 349 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demand Index | 1 | 1.44× | 2.33× |
| Pivot Points (Standard) | 1 | none needed | 3.62× |
| Fibonacci Pivots | 1 | none needed | 3.64× |
| Projection Bands | — | 1.09× | 4.42× |
| Stochastic | — | 1.36× | 2.78× |
| MA Envelope | — | 1.46× | 3.67× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Kroger (KR), MAMA / FAMA on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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