The best indicator for JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real JPMorgan Chase (JPM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where JPMorgan Chase (JPM) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Supertrend (10,3)
On the 4-hour chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for JPMorgan Chase (JPM) over ~3.9 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.9% CAGR.
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) on the 4-hour chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for JPMorgan Chase (JPM) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | 4-Hour | 24.2% | 1.54 | -13.0% | 70.0% | 20 | -0.9% |
| 2 | Supertrend (7,3) ✓ | 4-Hour | 22.7% | 1.51 | -12.4% | 70.0% | 20 | -2.4% |
| 3 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | 4-Hour | 23.7% | 1.51 | -14.9% | 71.4% | 21 | -1.4% |
| 4 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | 4-Hour | 21.0% | 1.48 | -10.0% | 60.6% | 33 | -4.1% |
| 5 | Intraday Momentum Index ✓ | 1-Hour | 29.1% | 1.86 | -7.7% | 75.0% | 64 | -5.9% |
| 6 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | 4-Hour | 19.3% | 1.3 | -13.5% | 58.3% | 24 | -5.8% |
| 7 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | 4-Hour | 17.6% | 1.3 | -16.9% | 58.6% | 29 | -7.5% |
| 8 | TRIX (9) ✓ | 4-Hour | 18.7% | 1.26 | -11.8% | 50.0% | 26 | -6.4% |
| 9 | Ehlers Stochastic ✓ | 4-Hour | 18.2% | 1.25 | -10.4% | 55.6% | 36 | -6.9% |
| 10 | Coral Trend ✓ | 4-Hour | 18.0% | 1.24 | -13.3% | 56.2% | 32 | -7.1% |
| 11 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | 4-Hour | 18.0% | 1.24 | -11.5% | 61.3% | 31 | -7.1% |
| 12 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | 4-Hour | 17.9% | 1.19 | -19.2% | 64.3% | 28 | -7.2% |
| 13 | PMax | 1-Hour | 27.3% | 1.6 | -13.0% | 58.1% | 31 | -7.6% |
| 14 | EMA Cascade Rider ✓ | 4-Hour | 15.9% | 1.18 | -11.7% | 57.1% | 21 | -9.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
45 of 1383 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on JPMorgan Chase (JPM) outright. Another 383 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 314 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demand Index | 2 | 1.81× | 6.38× |
| Stochastic | 2 | 2.21× | 8.07× |
| Connors RSI | 2 | 1.81× | 6.53× |
| Williams %R | 2 | 2.18× | 7.57× |
| Intraday Momentum Index | 2 | 2.21× | 11.76× |
| Connors RSI-2 | 2 | 2.4× | 6.2× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Supertrend (10,3) on the 4-hour timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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