The best indicator for JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real JPMorgan Chase (JPM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Intraday Momentum Index
On the 1-hour chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for JPMorgan Chase (JPM) over ~2.9 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.1% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for JPMorgan Chase (JPM) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Intraday Momentum Index ✓ | 1-Hour | 24.0% | 1.61 | -12.3% | 73.0% | 63 | -6.1% |
| 2 | PMax | 1-Hour | 26.3% | 1.58 | -12.9% | 58.1% | 31 | -3.8% |
| 3 | TRIX (21) | 1-Hour | 21.8% | 1.32 | -11.5% | 44.4% | 36 | -8.3% |
| 4 | Trend Intensity Index | 1-Hour | 20.3% | 1.24 | -10.7% | 53.1% | 32 | -9.8% |
| 5 | Hammer ✓ | 1-Hour | 8.1% | 1.23 | -4.4% | 53.8% | 106 | -22.0% |
| 6 | McGinley 10/30 Cross | 1-Hour | 20.0% | 1.18 | -12.2% | 42.5% | 40 | -10.1% |
| 7 | WMA 20/80 Cross | 1-Hour | 18.9% | 1.18 | -13.1% | 44.7% | 47 | -11.2% |
| 8 | CCI ✓ | 1-Hour | 17.5% | 1.15 | -13.3% | 75.8% | 99 | -12.6% |
| 9 | VIDYA 10/30 Cross | 1-Hour | 20.2% | 1.15 | -11.3% | 58.3% | 24 | -9.9% |
| 10 | SMA 20/80 Cross | 1-Hour | 18.4% | 1.15 | -11.1% | 50.0% | 34 | -11.7% |
| 11 | T3 20/80 Cross ✓ | 1-Hour | 18.7% | 1.13 | -20.0% | 70.8% | 24 | -11.4% |
| 12 | Money Flow Index ✓ | 1-Hour | 16.8% | 1.06 | -13.7% | 73.3% | 15 | -13.3% |
| 13 | SMA 20/50 Cross | 1-Hour | 16.8% | 1.06 | -18.3% | 46.8% | 47 | -13.3% |
| 14 | SMA 15/60 Cross | 1-Hour | 16.4% | 1.05 | -15.3% | 43.2% | 44 | -13.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Intraday Momentum Index on the 1-hour timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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