The best indicator for Johnson Controls (JCI)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Johnson Controls (JCI) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Johnson Controls (JCI) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Elastic VW MA
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Johnson Controls (JCI) over ~39.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1.0% CAGR.
Johnson Controls (JCI) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Johnson Controls (JCI) — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.59 | -63.1% | 41.8% | 67 | 1.0% |
| 2 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 13.7% | 0.58 | -84.7% | 50.0% | 26 | 3.4% |
| 3 | TSI (13,7) ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.58 | -63.0% | 37.5% | 48 | 0.7% |
| 4 | Volatility Stop (ATR) ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.58 | -69.5% | 52.1% | 48 | 0.7% |
| 5 | On-Balance Volume ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.57 | -62.1% | 55.4% | 130 | -0.5% |
| 6 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.57 | -71.7% | 59.7% | 77 | 0.4% |
| 7 | Price Volume Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.57 | -63.3% | 48.1% | 77 | 0.3% |
| 8 | Adaptive Supertrend ✓ | Weekly | 10.9% | 0.57 | -65.5% | 45.7% | 46 | 0.6% |
| 9 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.57 | -61.3% | 48.6% | 35 | 0.3% |
| 10 | SMA 5/20 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.57 | -61.1% | 45.3% | 53 | 0.4% |
| 11 | Donchian 10 Break ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.57 | -64.4% | 48.5% | 33 | 0.2% |
| 12 | Aroon ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.56 | -67.9% | 56.9% | 58 | 0.1% |
| 13 | Relative Momentum Index ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.56 | -57.5% | 57.7% | 26 | 0.1% |
| 14 | Cutler's RSI ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.56 | -71.5% | 52.7% | 93 | 0.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Johnson Controls (JCI)
1 of 694 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Johnson Controls (JCI) outright. Another 277 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 327 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Even Better Sinewave | 1 | 2.14× | 3.28× |
| QQE | — | 1.15× | 2.19× |
| SMC: Order Block | — | 1.41× | 2.96× |
| Guppy Multiple MA | — | 1.43× | 2.56× |
| Relative Momentum Index | — | 1.43× | 2.55× |
| Williams %R (50) | — | 1.49× | 2.76× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Johnson Controls (JCI), Elastic VW MA on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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