The best indicator for Johnson Controls (JCI)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Johnson Controls (JCI) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Johnson Controls (JCI) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
On-Balance Volume
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Johnson Controls (JCI) over ~38.8 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.2% CAGR.
Johnson Controls (JCI) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Johnson Controls (JCI) — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | On-Balance Volume ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.58 | -57.1% | 50.4% | 129 | -0.2% |
| 2 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.57 | -75.6% | 62.2% | 74 | 0.4% |
| 3 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 13.7% | 0.57 | -84.7% | 50.0% | 26 | 3.4% |
| 4 | TSI (13,7) ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.56 | -68.8% | 37.5% | 48 | 0.1% |
| 5 | EMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.55 | -60.7% | 38.7% | 62 | -0.0% |
| 6 | Aroon ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.55 | -72.7% | 56.1% | 57 | -0.2% |
| 7 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.55 | -68.7% | 40.3% | 67 | 0.0% |
| 8 | SMA 5/20 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.55 | -67.1% | 43.4% | 53 | 0.1% |
| 9 | Aroon Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.55 | -72.7% | 56.1% | 57 | -0.2% |
| 10 | Williams %R (21) ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.55 | -64.9% | 47.7% | 88 | 0.0% |
| 11 | Williams %R (50) ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.55 | -68.6% | 50.0% | 48 | 0.1% |
| 12 | VIDYA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.3% | 0.54 | -68.1% | 34.2% | 38 | -0.1% |
| 13 | T3 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.54 | -54.8% | 40.4% | 47 | -1.7% |
| 14 | VIDYA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.54 | -64.4% | 32.0% | 172 | -0.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Johnson Controls (JCI)
1 of 694 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Johnson Controls (JCI) outright. Another 277 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 327 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Even Better Sinewave | 1 | 2.14× | 3.28× |
| QQE | — | 1.15× | 2.19× |
| SMC: Order Block | — | 1.41× | 2.96× |
| Guppy Multiple MA | — | 1.43× | 2.56× |
| Relative Momentum Index | — | 1.43× | 2.55× |
| Williams %R (50) | — | 1.49× | 2.76× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Johnson Controls (JCI), On-Balance Volume on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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