The best indicator for International Paper (IP)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real International Paper (IP) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where International Paper (IP) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Detrended Price Osc.
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for International Paper (IP) over ~65.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 2.6% CAGR.
International Paper (IP) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for International Paper (IP) — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.49 | -61.5% | 56.0% | 377 | 2.6% |
| 2 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.49 | -48.9% | 57.5% | 273 | 2.4% |
| 3 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Daily | 7.4% | 0.45 | -84.1% | 78.1% | 196 | 1.5% |
| 4 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.43 | -47.9% | 77.2% | 92 | 0.5% |
| 5 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 6.8% | 0.42 | -84.4% | 68.5% | 321 | 0.9% |
| 6 | Projection Bands ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.42 | -77.7% | 74.8% | 123 | 0.5% |
| 7 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 6.7% | 0.41 | -81.8% | 66.4% | 256 | 0.8% |
| 8 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 5.5% | 0.39 | -80.6% | 72.7% | 110 | -0.4% |
| 9 | Stochastic Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 5.7% | 0.39 | -79.7% | 69.9% | 306 | -0.2% |
| 10 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.39 | -72.2% | 70.8% | 65 | 0.0% |
| 11 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.38 | -86.2% | 70.7% | 157 | 0.2% |
| 12 | DeMarker ✓ | Daily | 5.6% | 0.37 | -81.9% | 72.2% | 230 | -0.3% |
| 13 | Ehlers SuperSmoother | Daily | 5.7% | 0.36 | -91.8% | 42.2% | 2207 | -0.3% |
| 14 | Jurik MA (approx.) ✓ | Daily | 5.1% | 0.36 | -74.2% | 39.8% | 1507 | -0.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on International Paper (IP)
98 of 725 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on International Paper (IP) outright. Another 170 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 189 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | none needed | 1.85× |
| EMA 13/48 Cross | 2 | none needed | 2.24× |
| EMA 10/40 Cross | 2 | none needed | 2.32× |
| Williams %R | 1 | 1.02× | 1.79× |
| Supertrend (7,2) | 1 | 1.11× | 2.1× |
| Stochastic Slow (21,5) | 1 | 1.14× | 1.71× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For International Paper (IP), Detrended Price Osc. on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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