The best indicator for Howmet Aerospace (HWM)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Howmet Aerospace (HWM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
T3 100 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Howmet Aerospace (HWM) over ~9.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.4% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Howmet Aerospace (HWM) — trailing buy-and-hold by 17.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T3 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 29.0% | 1.19 | -22.1% | 64.7% | 17 | -6.4% |
| 2 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Daily | 32.3% | 1.1 | -28.8% | 61.9% | 21 | -3.2% |
| 3 | McGinley 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 32.7% | 1.06 | -42.4% | 37.5% | 16 | -2.8% |
| 4 | Vortex ✓ | Weekly | 29.3% | 1.06 | -29.6% | 50.0% | 18 | -6.7% |
| 5 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Weekly | 29.2% | 1.06 | -29.0% | 50.0% | 18 | -6.9% |
| 6 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Weekly | 29.2% | 1.06 | -29.0% | 50.0% | 18 | -6.9% |
| 7 | HMA 9/21 Cross ✓ | Daily | 26.3% | 1.02 | -27.9% | 46.9% | 160 | -9.2% |
| 8 | Parabolic SAR (fast) ✓ | Daily | 26.7% | 1.01 | -26.3% | 52.1% | 169 | -8.7% |
| 9 | CCI (100) ✓ | Daily | 27.4% | 1.01 | -29.1% | 34.5% | 29 | -8.0% |
| 10 | Geometric MA ✓ | Weekly | 25.3% | 1.01 | -37.5% | 31.6% | 19 | -10.8% |
| 11 | Williams %R (21) ✓ | Weekly | 26.9% | 1.01 | -40.1% | 43.5% | 23 | -9.2% |
| 12 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 26.9% | 1.0 | -46.2% | 86.5% | 37 | -8.5% |
| 13 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 31.9% | 1.0 | -52.1% | 27.8% | 18 | -3.6% |
| 14 | Median MA ✓ | Weekly | 23.9% | 1.0 | -37.8% | 67.9% | 28 | -12.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Howmet Aerospace (HWM), T3 100 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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