The best indicator for Howmet Aerospace (HWM)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Howmet Aerospace (HWM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Howmet Aerospace (HWM) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
T3 100 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Howmet Aerospace (HWM) over ~9.9 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.3% CAGR.
Howmet Aerospace (HWM) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Howmet Aerospace (HWM) — trailing buy-and-hold by 17.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T3 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 28.4% | 1.17 | -22.1% | 61.1% | 18 | -4.3% |
| 2 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Daily | 31.9% | 1.1 | -28.8% | 61.9% | 21 | -0.8% |
| 3 | McGinley 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 31.5% | 1.03 | -42.4% | 37.5% | 16 | -1.1% |
| 4 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Weekly | 27.3% | 1.02 | -29.0% | 47.4% | 19 | -6.1% |
| 5 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Weekly | 27.3% | 1.02 | -29.0% | 47.4% | 19 | -6.1% |
| 6 | Vortex ✓ | Weekly | 27.4% | 1.01 | -29.6% | 47.4% | 19 | -6.0% |
| 7 | CCI (100) ✓ | Daily | 26.7% | 1.0 | -29.1% | 33.3% | 30 | -5.9% |
| 8 | Geometric MA ✓ | Weekly | 25.0% | 1.0 | -37.7% | 31.6% | 19 | -8.5% |
| 9 | Williams %R (21) ✓ | Weekly | 26.5% | 1.0 | -40.4% | 47.8% | 23 | -6.9% |
| 10 | LSMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 23.2% | 1.06 | -21.6% | 64.3% | 14 | -10.2% |
| 11 | DeMarker ✓ | Daily | 19.4% | 0.98 | -35.5% | 76.3% | 38 | -13.3% |
| 12 | Premier Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 25.6% | 0.97 | -40.9% | 46.4% | 84 | -7.1% |
| 13 | SMA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 24.6% | 0.97 | -34.4% | 43.2% | 37 | -8.0% |
| 14 | Median MA ✓ | Weekly | 22.8% | 0.96 | -37.8% | 63.3% | 30 | -10.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Howmet Aerospace (HWM)
0 of 425 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Howmet Aerospace (HWM) outright. Another 344 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 77 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | — | 1.17× | 5.25× |
| Trend Regularity Adaptive MA | — | 1.67× | 4.28× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | — | 1.73× | 7.81× |
| ALMA 30 Trend | — | 1.93× | 5.51× |
| UT Bot (ATR Trailing) | — | 1.94× | 6.08× |
| EMA-10 Trend | — | 1.98× | 4.88× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Howmet Aerospace (HWM), T3 100 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get alerted when Howmet Aerospace’s signal flips
We track Howmet Aerospace daily. Its backtested best indicator, T3 100 Trend (Daily), is flat right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.