The best indicator for Hershey Company (The) (HSY)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Hershey Company (The) (HSY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Hershey Company (The) (HSY) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
EMA 13/48 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Hershey Company (The) (HSY) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.0% CAGR.
Hershey Company (The) (HSY) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Hershey Company (The) (HSY) — trailing buy-and-hold by 8.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.7 | -40.7% | 58.8% | 17 | -2.0% |
| 2 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.69 | -40.5% | 73.3% | 15 | -2.0% |
| 3 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.8% | 0.68 | -36.8% | 80.0% | 15 | -2.8% |
| 4 | DeMarker ✓ | Daily | 9.3% | 0.67 | -30.8% | 77.3% | 163 | -5.3% |
| 5 | Volatility Regime (VIX-style) ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.66 | -19.1% | 60.9% | 87 | -7.1% |
| 6 | Trendlines with Breaks ✓ | Weekly | 11.2% | 0.65 | -40.8% | 75.0% | 16 | -3.4% |
| 7 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 13.2% | 0.64 | -54.1% | 47.6% | 21 | -1.5% |
| 8 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.64 | -40.5% | 75.0% | 20 | -3.2% |
| 9 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.64 | -36.5% | 72.2% | 18 | -3.2% |
| 10 | EMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.68 | -39.9% | 71.4% | 14 | -2.1% |
| 11 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.0% | 0.63 | -40.5% | 53.8% | 26 | -3.6% |
| 12 | Historical Volatility Regime ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.63 | -24.1% | 64.4% | 87 | -7.6% |
| 13 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | Weekly | 10.9% | 0.63 | -36.8% | 80.0% | 15 | -3.7% |
| 14 | KAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.62 | -43.0% | 46.8% | 62 | -4.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Hershey Company (The) (HSY)
0 of 697 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Hershey Company (The) (HSY) outright. Another 287 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 269 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chandelier Exit | — | 1.28× | 3.08× |
| Ehlers Stochastic | — | 1.46× | 3.49× |
| Even Better Sinewave | — | 1.52× | 3.21× |
| Ehlers TrendFlex | — | 1.55× | 3.55× |
| QQE | — | 1.61× | 2.4× |
| Vegas Tunnel | — | 1.62× | 2.78× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Hershey Company (The) (HSY), EMA 13/48 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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