The best indicator for Hershey Company (The) (HSY)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Hershey Company (The) (HSY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
EMA 13/48 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Hershey Company (The) (HSY) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.0% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Hershey Company (The) (HSY) — trailing buy-and-hold by 8.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.7 | -40.7% | 58.8% | 17 | -2.0% |
| 2 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.69 | -40.5% | 73.3% | 15 | -2.0% |
| 3 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.8% | 0.68 | -36.8% | 80.0% | 15 | -2.8% |
| 4 | DeMarker ✓ | Daily | 9.3% | 0.67 | -30.8% | 77.3% | 163 | -5.3% |
| 5 | Volatility Regime (VIX-style) ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.66 | -19.1% | 60.9% | 87 | -7.1% |
| 6 | Trendlines with Breaks ✓ | Weekly | 11.2% | 0.65 | -40.8% | 75.0% | 16 | -3.4% |
| 7 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 13.2% | 0.64 | -54.1% | 47.6% | 21 | -1.5% |
| 8 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.64 | -40.5% | 75.0% | 20 | -3.2% |
| 9 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.64 | -36.5% | 72.2% | 18 | -3.2% |
| 10 | EMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.68 | -39.9% | 71.4% | 14 | -2.1% |
| 11 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.0% | 0.63 | -40.5% | 53.8% | 26 | -3.6% |
| 12 | Historical Volatility Regime ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.63 | -24.1% | 64.4% | 87 | -7.6% |
| 13 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | Weekly | 10.9% | 0.63 | -36.8% | 80.0% | 15 | -3.7% |
| 14 | KAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.62 | -43.0% | 46.8% | 62 | -4.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Hershey Company (The) (HSY), EMA 13/48 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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