The best indicator for Host Hotels & Resorts (HST)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
McGinley 10/30 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) over ~46.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.7% CAGR.
Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KAMA 10/30 Cross | Daily | 10.4% | 0.53 | -66.7% | 42.6% | 141 | -0.8% |
| 2 | McGinley 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.6% | 0.48 | -62.5% | 38.1% | 84 | -1.7% |
| 3 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.48 | -44.2% | 42.9% | 112 | -3.2% |
| 4 | T3 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 7.6% | 0.47 | -47.8% | 38.2% | 76 | -3.6% |
| 5 | Morning Star ✓ | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.47 | -34.5% | 67.0% | 88 | -4.3% |
| 6 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.46 | -78.7% | 72.0% | 218 | -2.3% |
| 7 | Positive Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.46 | -71.5% | 34.3% | 108 | -2.3% |
| 8 | Volume Flow Indicator | Daily | 8.6% | 0.45 | -82.3% | 34.2% | 111 | -2.7% |
| 9 | Aroon ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.44 | -78.2% | 57.1% | 77 | -3.8% |
| 10 | Aroon Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.44 | -78.2% | 57.1% | 77 | -3.8% |
| 11 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.7% | 0.43 | -65.2% | 40.0% | 35 | -3.6% |
| 12 | Donchian 100 Break | Daily | 7.6% | 0.43 | -69.1% | 55.2% | 29 | -3.7% |
| 13 | Ehlers Roofing Filter | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.43 | -69.9% | 60.4% | 48 | -3.6% |
| 14 | Trendlines with Breaks | Daily | 8.0% | 0.43 | -74.2% | 41.4% | 116 | -3.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Host Hotels & Resorts (HST)
15 of 727 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) outright. Another 46 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 104 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stochastic | 2 | none needed | 2.73× |
| Williams %R | 2 | none needed | 2.15× |
| CCI | 2 | none needed | 3.41× |
| MA Envelope | 2 | none needed | 2.29× |
| Demand Index | 2 | none needed | 2.34× |
| Projection Bands | 2 | none needed | 1.91× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Host Hotels & Resorts (HST), McGinley 10/30 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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