The best indicator for Hormel Foods (HRL)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Hormel Foods (HRL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Hormel Foods (HRL) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
HMA 9/21 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Hormel Foods (HRL) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.6% CAGR.
Hormel Foods (HRL) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Hormel Foods (HRL) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HMA 9/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.62 | -40.0% | 55.8% | 154 | -2.6% |
| 2 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 11.2% | 0.59 | -61.3% | 49.3% | 140 | -1.0% |
| 3 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 11.7% | 0.59 | -58.5% | 36.3% | 113 | -0.5% |
| 4 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.58 | -41.5% | 42.3% | 26 | -2.2% |
| 5 | Ehlers Relative Vigor ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.58 | -33.6% | 57.0% | 193 | -3.9% |
| 6 | Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.58 | -57.8% | 52.4% | 147 | -1.8% |
| 7 | Accumulation/Distribution ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.57 | -47.7% | 49.6% | 129 | -2.7% |
| 8 | Twiggs Money Flow ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.57 | -51.3% | 46.2% | 130 | -2.9% |
| 9 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.56 | -39.0% | 82.8% | 64 | -5.3% |
| 10 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.55 | -47.2% | 83.3% | 36 | -5.1% |
| 11 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.55 | -57.1% | 65.0% | 20 | -2.8% |
| 12 | Laguerre RSI ✓ | Weekly | 5.2% | 0.54 | -33.0% | 68.1% | 72 | -7.0% |
| 13 | Center of Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.54 | -51.6% | 59.4% | 286 | -4.2% |
| 14 | Least Squares MA ✓ | Weekly | 7.6% | 0.54 | -49.1% | 49.7% | 199 | -4.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Hormel Foods (HRL)
14 of 698 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Hormel Foods (HRL) outright. Another 100 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 145 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demand Index | 1 | 1.55× | 2.56× |
| SMC: Liquidity Sweep | 1 | 1.55× | 3.09× |
| TRIMA 200 Trend | 1 | 1.61× | 2.52× |
| Williams %R | 1 | 2.0× | 3.51× |
| Ichimoku Cloud | 1 | none needed | 2.47× |
| Accumulation/Distribution | 1 | none needed | 1.81× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Hormel Foods (HRL), HMA 9/21 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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