The best indicator for HP Inc. (HPQ)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real HP Inc. (HPQ) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where HP Inc. (HPQ) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
CCI Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for HP Inc. (HPQ) over ~65.0 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.2% CAGR.
HP Inc. (HPQ) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for HP Inc. (HPQ) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CCI Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.51 | -46.0% | 45.8% | 144 | -1.2% |
| 2 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.5 | -55.1% | 60.0% | 35 | -1.1% |
| 3 | Price Volume Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.5 | -59.1% | 46.5% | 157 | -1.2% |
| 4 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.5 | -60.5% | 60.0% | 30 | -0.9% |
| 5 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.5 | -60.7% | 58.6% | 29 | -1.1% |
| 6 | Trendlines with Breaks ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.5 | -52.4% | 62.5% | 24 | -1.0% |
| 7 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.49 | -67.1% | 47.7% | 128 | -0.5% |
| 8 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Weekly | 9.7% | 0.49 | -57.3% | 55.6% | 36 | -1.3% |
| 9 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.49 | -54.6% | 51.7% | 145 | -1.5% |
| 10 | Positive Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.47 | -66.2% | 38.2% | 131 | -2.0% |
| 11 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.8% | 0.47 | -82.9% | 27.6% | 29 | -0.1% |
| 12 | VWAP Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.47 | -54.1% | 44.3% | 183 | -2.2% |
| 13 | Force Index ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.47 | -65.5% | 49.8% | 207 | -2.2% |
| 14 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.47 | -57.1% | 48.5% | 33 | -1.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on HP Inc. (HPQ)
99 of 730 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on HP Inc. (HPQ) outright. Another 137 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 202 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supertrend (10,3) | 2 | none needed | 1.97× |
| Aroon | 2 | none needed | 2.32× |
| Historical Volatility Regime | 2 | none needed | 2.78× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | none needed | 2.13× |
| KAMA 10/30 Cross | 2 | none needed | 2.31× |
| Aroon Oscillator | 2 | none needed | 2.32× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For HP Inc. (HPQ), CCI Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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