The best indicator for Home Depot (The) (HD)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Home Depot (The) (HD) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Home Depot (The) (HD) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Supertrend (10,3)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Home Depot (The) (HD) over ~44.9 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.4% CAGR.
Home Depot (The) (HD) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Home Depot (The) (HD) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 21.1% | 0.87 | -51.4% | 57.7% | 26 | -3.4% |
| 2 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | Weekly | 21.2% | 0.87 | -54.3% | 59.3% | 27 | -3.3% |
| 3 | Supertrend (7,3) ✓ | Weekly | 20.8% | 0.85 | -50.8% | 57.7% | 26 | -3.7% |
| 4 | SMC: Break of Structure ✓ | Weekly | 19.2% | 0.84 | -57.5% | 52.6% | 19 | -5.3% |
| 5 | Adaptive Supertrend ✓ | Weekly | 19.7% | 0.81 | -62.9% | 48.6% | 70 | -4.8% |
| 6 | Supertrend (7,2) ✓ | Weekly | 19.1% | 0.79 | -62.3% | 59.6% | 52 | -5.5% |
| 7 | Delta Volume (CVD proxy) ✓ | Weekly | 18.6% | 0.79 | -61.1% | 52.9% | 121 | -5.9% |
| 8 | Predictive Ranges ✓ | Weekly | 18.5% | 0.77 | -79.4% | 54.5% | 112 | -6.0% |
| 9 | Supertrend Fast (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 18.3% | 0.76 | -66.4% | 55.6% | 54 | -6.2% |
| 10 | Supertrend (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 18.3% | 0.76 | -66.4% | 55.6% | 54 | -6.2% |
| 11 | Donchian 10 Break ✓ | Weekly | 18.0% | 0.76 | -58.0% | 53.7% | 41 | -6.5% |
| 12 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | Weekly | 17.5% | 0.75 | -61.0% | 42.9% | 21 | -7.0% |
| 13 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 17.2% | 0.74 | -65.0% | 49.0% | 100 | -7.5% |
| 14 | CMO (21) ✓ | Weekly | 17.1% | 0.74 | -56.1% | 53.6% | 97 | -7.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Home Depot (The) (HD)
0 of 691 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Home Depot (The) (HD) outright. Another 399 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 262 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 1.87× | 3.45× |
| QQE | — | 1.09× | 2.63× |
| Chandelier Exit | — | 1.3× | 3.38× |
| Williams %R (50) | — | 1.44× | 3.79× |
| Volatility Stop (ATR) | — | 1.53× | 2.98× |
| Elastic VW MA | — | 1.58× | 3.0× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Home Depot (The) (HD), Supertrend (10,3) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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