The best indicator for Home Depot (The) (HD)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Home Depot (The) (HD) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Supertrend (10,3)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Home Depot (The) (HD) over ~44.9 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.4% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Home Depot (The) (HD) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 21.1% | 0.87 | -51.4% | 57.7% | 26 | -3.4% |
| 2 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | Weekly | 21.2% | 0.87 | -54.3% | 59.3% | 27 | -3.3% |
| 3 | Supertrend (7,3) ✓ | Weekly | 20.8% | 0.85 | -50.8% | 57.7% | 26 | -3.7% |
| 4 | SMC: Break of Structure ✓ | Weekly | 19.2% | 0.84 | -57.5% | 52.6% | 19 | -5.3% |
| 5 | Adaptive Supertrend ✓ | Weekly | 19.7% | 0.81 | -62.9% | 48.6% | 70 | -4.8% |
| 6 | Supertrend (7,2) ✓ | Weekly | 19.1% | 0.79 | -62.3% | 59.6% | 52 | -5.5% |
| 7 | Delta Volume (CVD proxy) ✓ | Weekly | 18.6% | 0.79 | -61.1% | 52.9% | 121 | -5.9% |
| 8 | Predictive Ranges ✓ | Weekly | 18.5% | 0.77 | -79.4% | 54.5% | 112 | -6.0% |
| 9 | Supertrend Fast (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 18.3% | 0.76 | -66.4% | 55.6% | 54 | -6.2% |
| 10 | Supertrend (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 18.3% | 0.76 | -66.4% | 55.6% | 54 | -6.2% |
| 11 | Donchian 10 Break ✓ | Weekly | 18.0% | 0.76 | -58.0% | 53.7% | 41 | -6.5% |
| 12 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | Weekly | 17.5% | 0.75 | -61.0% | 42.9% | 21 | -7.0% |
| 13 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 17.2% | 0.74 | -65.0% | 49.0% | 100 | -7.5% |
| 14 | CMO (21) ✓ | Weekly | 17.1% | 0.74 | -56.1% | 53.6% | 97 | -7.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Home Depot (The) (HD), Supertrend (10,3) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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