The best indicator for Garmin (GRMN)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Garmin (GRMN) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Garmin (GRMN) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Trend Intensity Index
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Garmin (GRMN) over ~25.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 3.3% CAGR.
Garmin (GRMN) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Garmin (GRMN) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trend Intensity Index ✓ | Daily | 19.5% | 0.81 | -36.6% | 75.8% | 33 | 3.3% |
| 2 | Coppock (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 18.3% | 0.78 | -29.3% | 69.2% | 39 | 2.2% |
| 3 | SMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 17.4% | 0.76 | -38.7% | 75.8% | 33 | 1.2% |
| 4 | EMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 18.1% | 0.75 | -49.4% | 39.7% | 78 | 1.9% |
| 5 | CCI (200) ✓ | Daily | 18.3% | 0.75 | -47.7% | 43.8% | 48 | 2.1% |
| 6 | Lorentzian Classification ✓ | Weekly | 16.1% | 0.75 | -65.8% | 55.2% | 210 | -0.0% |
| 7 | Delta Volume (CVD proxy) ✓ | Weekly | 18.1% | 0.75 | -44.4% | 61.0% | 59 | 2.0% |
| 8 | TRIX (21) ✓ | Daily | 16.6% | 0.73 | -34.7% | 68.2% | 44 | 0.4% |
| 9 | Balance of Power ✓ | Weekly | 17.7% | 0.73 | -43.5% | 65.8% | 73 | 1.6% |
| 10 | Instantaneous Trendline ✓ | Weekly | 16.6% | 0.73 | -35.3% | 57.7% | 52 | 0.5% |
| 11 | Premier Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 17.0% | 0.73 | -38.4% | 66.7% | 45 | 0.9% |
| 12 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Weekly | 17.5% | 0.73 | -46.8% | 68.0% | 50 | 1.4% |
| 13 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Weekly | 17.5% | 0.72 | -45.6% | 69.2% | 52 | 1.4% |
| 14 | Twiggs Money Flow ✓ | Weekly | 17.3% | 0.72 | -39.6% | 56.8% | 74 | 1.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Garmin (GRMN)
4 of 630 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Garmin (GRMN) outright. Another 351 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 240 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier Stochastic | 1 | 1.27× | 3.47× |
| Trend Regularity Adaptive MA | 1 | 1.55× | 3.02× |
| CCI (200) | 1 | none needed | 3.83× |
| Lorentzian Classification | 1 | none needed | 3.35× |
| SMA 200 Trend | — | 1.27× | 2.56× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | — | 1.38× | 2.8× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Garmin (GRMN), Trend Intensity Index on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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