The best indicator for Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Supertrend (14,4)
On the 4-hour chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL) over ~3.9 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.7% CAGR.
Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL) on the 4-hour chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL) — trailing buy-and-hold by 15.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | 4-Hour | 27.3% | 1.27 | -19.5% | 53.3% | 15 | -2.7% |
| 2 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | 4-Hour | 25.1% | 1.17 | -18.6% | 64.7% | 17 | -4.9% |
| 3 | SMC: Fair Value Gap ✓ | Daily | 18.6% | 0.9 | -38.5% | 42.0% | 305 | -6.5% |
| 4 | MA Ribbon ✓ | 4-Hour | 20.5% | 1.15 | -18.3% | 45.2% | 31 | -9.5% |
| 5 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | 4-Hour | 25.0% | 1.15 | -18.6% | 46.2% | 52 | -4.9% |
| 6 | Supertrend (7,2) ✓ | Daily | 18.1% | 0.89 | -44.5% | 43.2% | 148 | -6.9% |
| 7 | CCI Trend ✓ | Daily | 17.9% | 0.88 | -43.8% | 39.6% | 255 | -7.1% |
| 8 | Supertrend (7,3) ✓ | Daily | 18.1% | 0.88 | -42.4% | 54.2% | 83 | -6.9% |
| 9 | HLC Trend ✓ | Daily | 18.1% | 0.88 | -27.8% | 41.1% | 285 | -7.0% |
| 10 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Weekly | 20.4% | 0.87 | -36.6% | 70.7% | 41 | -4.0% |
| 11 | SMC: Fair Value Gap ✓ | Weekly | 17.9% | 0.87 | -34.2% | 59.2% | 49 | -6.5% |
| 12 | DEMA 200 Trend ✓ | 4-Hour | 18.3% | 1.11 | -13.2% | 52.4% | 21 | -11.7% |
| 13 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | 4-Hour | 27.6% | 1.26 | -24.2% | 53.8% | 13 | -2.3% |
| 14 | Ehlers Decycler ✓ | Daily | 17.6% | 0.85 | -35.4% | 40.9% | 318 | -7.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL)
1 of 1246 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL) outright. Another 835 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 315 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | 1 | 1.36× | 3.17× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | — | 1.56× | 5.28× |
| Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) | — | 3.39× | 5.31× |
| Trend Regularity Adaptive MA | — | 1.22× | 5.27× |
| Volume-Weighted EMA | — | 1.26× | 4.03× |
| Heikin-Ashi + EMA | — | 1.28× | 4.17× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL), Supertrend (14,4) on the 4-hour timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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