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The best indicator for GameStop

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real GameStop history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Volatility · Weekly

Bollinger Mean-Reversion

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for GameStop over ~24.5 years — beating buy-and-hold by 3.0% CAGR.

13.9%
CAGR
0.55
Sharpe
-43.5%
Max DD
78.3%
Win rate
7.84
Profit factor
+3.0%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
Bollinger Mean-Reversion
+3.0% · Sharpe 0.55
Daily
Stoch RSI (fast)
+6.2% · Sharpe 0.51
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Bollinger Mean-Reversion Weekly13.9%0.55-43.5%78.3%233.0%
2Fibonacci Bands Weekly13.9%0.55-43.5%78.3%233.0%
3Stoch RSI (fast) Daily17.1%0.51-84.1%42.0%6546.2%
4Price Volume Trend Daily14.0%0.5-88.3%42.2%2253.1%
5McGinley Dynamic Daily11.4%0.48-88.5%41.6%2330.5%
6Ehlers Reflex Daily13.6%0.48-85.5%45.8%2012.7%
7Jurik MA (approx.) Daily15.2%0.48-84.9%41.8%5774.3%
8Murrey Math Lines Daily13.6%0.48-79.5%69.7%662.7%
9ADX Strong Trend Daily14.0%0.47-91.0%46.4%843.1%
10QQE Daily9.3%0.47-93.8%39.6%374-1.6%
11Exponential Hull MA Daily12.5%0.46-85.4%42.3%4541.6%
12SMA 200 Trend Daily12.6%0.46-88.3%32.4%711.7%
13McGinley 100 Trend Daily9.7%0.46-93.0%23.1%65-1.2%
14McGinley 200 Trend Daily8.8%0.46-91.7%16.7%30-2.1%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For GameStop, Bollinger Mean-Reversion on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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