The best indicator for GBP/AUD
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real GBP/AUD history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where GBP/AUD stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Parabolic SAR
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for GBP/AUD over ~23.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 7.2% CAGR.
GBP/AUD on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for GBP/AUD — beating buy-and-hold by 6.3% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parabolic SAR ✓ | Daily | 6.1% | 0.83 | -24.8% | 36.5% | 277 | 7.2% |
| 2 | Parabolic SAR (fast) ✓ | Daily | 6.0% | 0.82 | -36.1% | 35.3% | 451 | 7.1% |
| 3 | Fisher Transform ✓ | Daily | 5.2% | 0.72 | -40.9% | 34.7% | 605 | 6.3% |
| 4 | DeMarker (7) ✓ | Daily | 4.7% | 0.64 | -34.6% | 33.4% | 428 | 5.8% |
| 5 | Vortex (7) ✓ | Daily | 4.3% | 0.59 | -33.6% | 31.6% | 431 | 5.4% |
| 6 | DMI Direction ✓ | Daily | 3.9% | 0.53 | -35.7% | 29.1% | 275 | 5.0% |
| 7 | Woodies CCI ✓ | Daily | 2.4% | 0.38 | -33.2% | 35.6% | 481 | 3.5% |
| 8 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Daily | 2.5% | 0.36 | -32.2% | 32.2% | 236 | 3.6% |
| 9 | Impulse MACD ✓ | Daily | 1.9% | 0.35 | -31.1% | 31.0% | 290 | 3.0% |
| 10 | CCI (14) ✓ | Daily | 2.4% | 0.35 | -34.3% | 32.8% | 366 | 3.5% |
| 11 | Vortex ✓ | Daily | 2.3% | 0.34 | -27.4% | 30.8% | 299 | 3.4% |
| 12 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Daily | 2.3% | 0.34 | -29.3% | 29.5% | 292 | 3.4% |
| 13 | ADXR ✓ | Daily | 2.1% | 0.34 | -29.0% | 31.2% | 176 | 3.2% |
| 14 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Daily | 2.3% | 0.34 | -29.3% | 29.5% | 292 | 3.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on GBP/AUD
53 of 567 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on GBP/AUD outright. Another 33 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 4 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fisher Transform | 2 | none needed | 16.01× |
| DeMarker (7) | 2 | none needed | 14.41× |
| Instantaneous Trendline | 1 | 1.33× | 10.52× |
| Ichimoku (fast) | 1 | 1.33× | 8.5× |
| Stochastic RSI | 1 | 1.4× | 9.18× |
| Accelerator Oscillator | 1 | 4.0× | 8.4× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For GBP/AUD, Parabolic SAR on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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