The best indicator for Fiserv (FISV)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Fiserv (FISV) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Fiserv (FISV) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Pivot Points (Standard)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Fiserv (FISV) over ~39.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 4.7% CAGR.
Fiserv (FISV) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Fiserv (FISV) — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Daily | 18.9% | 0.95 | -41.1% | 50.7% | 1503 | 4.7% |
| 2 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Daily | 18.6% | 0.92 | -41.1% | 50.9% | 1616 | 4.3% |
| 3 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Daily | 19.2% | 0.91 | -48.4% | 48.4% | 2085 | 4.9% |
| 4 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.66 | -49.0% | 54.2% | 421 | -3.2% |
| 5 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 11.5% | 0.64 | -46.5% | 67.5% | 363 | -2.7% |
| 6 | Intraday Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.62 | -61.8% | 76.8% | 112 | -2.4% |
| 7 | KAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 13.2% | 0.62 | -41.5% | 70.6% | 17 | -1.0% |
| 8 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.6 | -42.6% | 72.2% | 18 | -2.8% |
| 9 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 14.0% | 0.6 | -75.4% | 67.2% | 488 | -0.2% |
| 10 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 9.6% | 0.59 | -44.4% | 73.0% | 174 | -4.6% |
| 11 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.59 | -46.1% | 70.9% | 251 | -3.6% |
| 12 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Daily | 9.6% | 0.59 | -44.4% | 73.0% | 174 | -4.6% |
| 13 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.58 | -45.8% | 59.9% | 309 | -4.7% |
| 14 | Lorentzian Classification ✓ | Weekly | 12.2% | 0.58 | -68.7% | 54.8% | 354 | -2.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Fiserv (FISV)
216 of 673 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Fiserv (FISV) outright. Another 87 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 74 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sine-Weighted MA | 2 | none needed | 1.65× |
| Vegas Tunnel | 2 | none needed | 2.14× |
| Pivot Points (Standard) | 2 | none needed | 3.43× |
| Fibonacci Pivots | 2 | none needed | 3.31× |
| SMA 100 Trend | 2 | none needed | 2.09× |
| KAMA 200 Trend | 2 | none needed | 2.19× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Fiserv (FISV), Pivot Points (Standard) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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