The best indicator for Essex Property Trust (ESS)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Essex Property Trust (ESS) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
DEMA 20/50 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Essex Property Trust (ESS) over ~32.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.9% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 3 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Essex Property Trust (ESS) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.78 | -26.7% | 84.2% | 19 | -1.9% |
| 2 | Momentum (50) ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.73 | -26.0% | 42.4% | 33 | -1.6% |
| 3 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Weekly | 11.5% | 0.72 | -35.4% | 79.3% | 29 | -1.7% |
| 4 | TRIMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.72 | -31.0% | 51.0% | 51 | -3.1% |
| 5 | SMC: Break of Structure ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.7 | -42.1% | 70.6% | 17 | -2.8% |
| 6 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.69 | -34.6% | 59.3% | 27 | -2.5% |
| 7 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.69 | -36.0% | 64.3% | 28 | -2.9% |
| 8 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 15.1% | 0.69 | -47.3% | 64.3% | 112 | 1.8% |
| 9 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.68 | -34.5% | 45.2% | 62 | -2.4% |
| 10 | CMO (21) ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.67 | -31.2% | 49.3% | 71 | -2.8% |
| 11 | ROC (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.67 | -42.4% | 55.2% | 58 | -2.6% |
| 12 | CMO (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.67 | -42.4% | 55.2% | 58 | -2.6% |
| 13 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.67 | -42.4% | 55.2% | 58 | -2.6% |
| 14 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.66 | -38.9% | 51.4% | 35 | -3.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Essex Property Trust (ESS), DEMA 20/50 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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