The best indicator for Essex Property Trust (ESS)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Essex Property Trust (ESS) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Essex Property Trust (ESS) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
DEMA 20/50 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Essex Property Trust (ESS) over ~32.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.9% CAGR.
Essex Property Trust (ESS) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 3 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Essex Property Trust (ESS) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.78 | -26.7% | 84.2% | 19 | -1.9% |
| 2 | Momentum (50) ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.73 | -26.0% | 42.4% | 33 | -1.6% |
| 3 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Weekly | 11.5% | 0.72 | -35.4% | 79.3% | 29 | -1.7% |
| 4 | TRIMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.72 | -31.0% | 51.0% | 51 | -3.1% |
| 5 | SMC: Break of Structure ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.7 | -42.1% | 70.6% | 17 | -2.8% |
| 6 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.69 | -34.6% | 59.3% | 27 | -2.5% |
| 7 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.69 | -36.0% | 64.3% | 28 | -2.9% |
| 8 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 15.1% | 0.69 | -47.3% | 64.3% | 112 | 1.8% |
| 9 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.68 | -34.5% | 45.2% | 62 | -2.4% |
| 10 | CMO (21) ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.67 | -31.2% | 49.3% | 71 | -2.8% |
| 11 | ROC (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.67 | -42.4% | 55.2% | 58 | -2.6% |
| 12 | CMO (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.67 | -42.4% | 55.2% | 58 | -2.6% |
| 13 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.67 | -42.4% | 55.2% | 58 | -2.6% |
| 14 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.66 | -38.9% | 51.4% | 35 | -3.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Essex Property Trust (ESS)
15 of 673 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Essex Property Trust (ESS) outright. Another 124 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 143 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detrended Price Osc. | 1 | 1.67× | 4.4× |
| Williams %R | 1 | none needed | 2.49× |
| TRIX | 1 | none needed | 3.14× |
| Connors RSI-2 | 1 | none needed | 3.35× |
| Stochastic RSI | 1 | none needed | 4.47× |
| DeMarker | 1 | none needed | 3.45× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Essex Property Trust (ESS), DEMA 20/50 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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