The best indicator for Dexcom (DXCM)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dexcom (DXCM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Dexcom (DXCM) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Donchian 10 Break
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dexcom (DXCM) over ~21.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 7.8% CAGR.
Dexcom (DXCM) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Dexcom (DXCM) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian 10 Break ✓ | Daily | 24.2% | 0.79 | -63.6% | 54.6% | 97 | 7.8% |
| 2 | Williams Fractals ✓ | Daily | 21.5% | 0.73 | -64.3% | 48.2% | 114 | 5.1% |
| 3 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 23.6% | 0.7 | -79.7% | 44.8% | 116 | 7.2% |
| 4 | Trade Volume Index ✓ | Weekly | 16.7% | 0.69 | -45.5% | 41.7% | 36 | -0.3% |
| 5 | Inverse Fisher RSI ✓ | Daily | 19.4% | 0.68 | -56.0% | 43.3% | 164 | 3.0% |
| 6 | WMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 18.3% | 0.68 | -43.8% | 33.3% | 15 | 1.2% |
| 7 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Daily | 16.9% | 0.66 | -55.0% | 45.3% | 53 | 0.5% |
| 8 | Ichimoku (fast) ✓ | Daily | 18.9% | 0.66 | -50.8% | 51.6% | 248 | 2.5% |
| 9 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Daily | 20.0% | 0.65 | -65.8% | 43.9% | 230 | 3.6% |
| 10 | Accelerator Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 18.6% | 0.65 | -53.7% | 46.3% | 313 | 2.2% |
| 11 | Coppock (fast) ✓ | Daily | 19.2% | 0.65 | -54.1% | 43.8% | 178 | 2.7% |
| 12 | Volume Zone Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 17.6% | 0.64 | -50.1% | 47.8% | 515 | 1.2% |
| 13 | Accumulation/Distribution ✓ | Weekly | 17.6% | 0.64 | -62.9% | 51.5% | 66 | 0.6% |
| 14 | Pascal's Weighted MA ✓ | Weekly | 15.5% | 0.64 | -46.7% | 45.5% | 55 | -1.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Dexcom (DXCM)
228 of 631 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Dexcom (DXCM) outright. Another 72 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 51 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sine-Weighted MA | 2 | 1.88× | 2.15× |
| Parabolic SAR | 2 | none needed | 1.93× |
| Stochastic RSI | 2 | none needed | 2.6× |
| UT Bot (ATR Trailing) | 2 | none needed | 2.26× |
| Volume Zone Oscillator | 2 | none needed | 2.39× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | none needed | 1.65× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Dexcom (DXCM), Donchian 10 Break on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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