The best indicator for Dexcom (DXCM)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dexcom (DXCM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Donchian 10 Break
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dexcom (DXCM) over ~21.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 7.8% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Dexcom (DXCM) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian 10 Break ✓ | Daily | 24.2% | 0.79 | -63.6% | 54.6% | 97 | 7.8% |
| 2 | Williams Fractals ✓ | Daily | 21.5% | 0.73 | -64.3% | 48.2% | 114 | 5.1% |
| 3 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 23.6% | 0.7 | -79.7% | 44.8% | 116 | 7.2% |
| 4 | Trade Volume Index ✓ | Weekly | 16.7% | 0.69 | -45.5% | 41.7% | 36 | -0.3% |
| 5 | Inverse Fisher RSI ✓ | Daily | 19.4% | 0.68 | -56.0% | 43.3% | 164 | 3.0% |
| 6 | WMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 18.3% | 0.68 | -43.8% | 33.3% | 15 | 1.2% |
| 7 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Daily | 16.9% | 0.66 | -55.0% | 45.3% | 53 | 0.5% |
| 8 | Ichimoku (fast) ✓ | Daily | 18.9% | 0.66 | -50.8% | 51.6% | 248 | 2.5% |
| 9 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Daily | 20.0% | 0.65 | -65.8% | 43.9% | 230 | 3.6% |
| 10 | Accelerator Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 18.6% | 0.65 | -53.7% | 46.3% | 313 | 2.2% |
| 11 | Coppock (fast) ✓ | Daily | 19.2% | 0.65 | -54.1% | 43.8% | 178 | 2.7% |
| 12 | Volume Zone Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 17.6% | 0.64 | -50.1% | 47.8% | 515 | 1.2% |
| 13 | Accumulation/Distribution ✓ | Weekly | 17.6% | 0.64 | -62.9% | 51.5% | 66 | 0.6% |
| 14 | Pascal's Weighted MA ✓ | Weekly | 15.5% | 0.64 | -46.7% | 45.5% | 55 | -1.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Dexcom (DXCM), Donchian 10 Break on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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